{"id":13888,"date":"2024-05-04T15:08:50","date_gmt":"2024-05-04T19:08:50","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/newswz.com\/?p=13888"},"modified":"2024-05-04T15:08:51","modified_gmt":"2024-05-04T19:08:51","slug":"%e6%8b%9c%e7%99%bb%e7%ab%9e%e9%80%89%e4%b9%8b%e8%b7%af%e9%98%bb%e5%8a%9b%e9%87%8d%e9%87%8d%ef%bc%8c%e5%9b%bd%e5%86%85%e5%a4%96%e5%90%84%e6%9c%89%e9%ba%bb%e7%83%a6","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/newswz.com\/?p=13888","title":{"rendered":"\u62dc\u767b\u7ade\u9009\u4e4b\u8def\u963b\u529b\u91cd\u91cd\uff0c\u56fd\u5185\u5916\u5404\u6709\u9ebb\u70e6"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

\u56fe\u7247\u6765\u6e90\uff1aILLUSTRATION: ARIEL ZAMBELICH\/THE WALL STREET JOURNAL; PHOTOS: GETTY IMAGES (3)<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u6587\u7ae0\u6765\u6e90: \u534e\u5c14\u8857\u65e5\u62a5\u4e2d\u6587\u7248 \u2013 \u65b0\u95fb\u53d6\u81ea\u5404\u5927\u65b0\u95fb\u5a92\u4f53\uff0c\u65b0\u95fb\u5185\u5bb9\u5e76\u4e0d\u4ee3\u8868\u672c\u7f51\u7acb\u573a\uff01<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u773c\u4e0b\u62dc\u767b\u6b63\u9762\u4e34\u4e24\u5927\u56e0\u7d20\u5e26\u6765\u7684\u65b0\u5a01\u80c1\uff1a\u6df7\u4e71\u7684\u6821\u56ed\u6297\u8bae\u6d3b\u52a8\u548c\u5b9e\u73b0\u52a0\u6c99\u505c\u706b\u7684\u52aa\u529b\u505c\u6ede\u4e0d\u524d\u3002\u5bf9\u62dc\u767b\u800c\u8a00\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e24\u79cd\u51b2\u7a81\u57fa\u672c\u90fd\u662f\u4ed6\u65e0\u6cd5\u76f4\u63a5\u638c\u63a7\u7684\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u7f8e\u56fd\u603b\u7edf\u62dc\u767b(Joe Biden)\u7684\u7ade\u9009\u8fde\u4efb\u4e4b\u8def\u56f0\u96be\u91cd\u91cd\uff0c\u773c\u4e0b\u6b63\u9762\u4e34\u4e24\u5927\u56e0\u7d20\u5e26\u6765\u7684\u65b0\u5a01\u80c1\uff1a\u4e00\u65b9\u9762\uff0c\u4ee5\u8272\u5217\u4e0e\u54c8\u9a6c\u65af(Hamas)\u7684\u6218\u4e89\u6218\u706b\u672a\u6d88\uff1b\u53e6\u4e00\u65b9\u9762\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u5728\u8fd9\u573a\u6218\u4e89\u4e2d\u7684\u89d2\u8272\u5728\u7f8e\u56fd\u56fd\u5185\u5236\u9020\u7684\u88c2\u75d5\u65e5\u76ca\u52a0\u6df1\u3002\u5bf9\u62dc\u767b\u800c\u8a00\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e24\u79cd\u51b2\u7a81\u57fa\u672c\u90fd\u662f\u4ed6\u65e0\u6cd5\u76f4\u63a5\u638c\u63a7\u7684\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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\u773c\u4e0b\u62dc\u767b\u6b63\u9762\u4e34\u4eca\u590f\u6297\u8bae\u6d3b\u52a8\u4e0d\u65ad\u7684\u524d\u666f\uff0c\u5bf9\u4ed6\u6765\u8bf4\uff0c\u5f53\u524d\u7684\u5c40\u9762\u610f\u5473\u7740\u98ce\u9669\u591a\u591a\uff0c\u57fa\u672c\u6ca1\u6709\u4ec0\u4e48\u597d\u8def\u53ef\u9009\u3002\u7b49\u5230\u6c11\u4e3b\u515a\u5168\u56fd\u4ee3\u8868\u5927\u4f1a8\u6708\u4efd\u5728\u829d\u52a0\u54e5\u4e3e\u884c\u3001\u63d0\u540d\u603b\u7edf\u5019\u9009\u4eba\u65f6\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e9b\u6700\u7ec8\u53ef\u80fd\u6f14\u53d8\u6210\u5927\u89c4\u6a21\u793a\u5a01\u6d3b\u52a8\uff0c\u4ece\u800c\u7834\u574f\u4e00\u573a\u65e8\u5728\u5c55\u793a\u6c11\u4e3b\u515a\u515a\u5185\u56e2\u7ed3\u548c\u8be5\u515a\u5bf9\u7f8e\u56fd\u7684\u9886\u5bfc\u80fd\u529b\u7684\u76db\u4e8b\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u62dc\u767b\u76ee\u524d\u91cd\u70b9\u5173\u6ce8\u5982\u4f55\u65bd\u538b\u4ee5\u8272\u5217\u548c\u54c8\u9a6c\u65af\u63a5\u53d7\u505c\u706b\u534f\u8bae<\/a>\uff0c\u6b64\u534f\u8bae\u6216\u8bb8\u65e2\u80fd\u62ef\u6551\u8be5\u5730\u533a\u7684\u751f\u547d\uff0c\u53c8\u80fd\u5e73\u606f\u7f8e\u56fd\u56fd\u5185\u7684\u6297\u8bae\u6d3b\u52a8\u3002\u5982\u82e5\u4e0d\u6210\uff0c\u5219\u53ef\u80fd\u4fc3\u4f7f\u4ee5\u8272\u5217\u653f\u5e9c\u5f00\u542f\u4e00\u9879\u89c4\u5212\u5df2\u4e45\u7684\u3001\u9488\u5bf9\u62c9\u6cd5\u5730\u533a\u54c8\u9a6c\u65af\u6218\u6597\u4eba\u5458\u7684\u884c\u52a8\u3002\u7ea6\u6709140\u4e07\u5df4\u52d2\u65af\u5766\u4eba\u5728\u62c9\u6cd5\u5730\u533a\u907f\u96be\uff0c\u5927\u91cf\u5e73\u6c11\u4f24\u4ea1\u7684\u524d\u666f\u5df2\u5f15\u53d1\u56fd\u9645\u793e\u4f1a\u7684\u5173\u5207\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u4f46\u62dc\u767b\u5236\u5b9a\u653f\u7b56\u548c\u516c\u5f00\u8868\u6001\u65f6\u7684\u8c28\u614e\u6001\u5ea6\u751a\u81f3\u62db\u81f4\u4e86\u4e00\u4e9b\u6c11\u4e3b\u515a\u4eba\u7684\u6279\u8bc4\uff0c\u4ed6\u4eec\u539f\u672c\u5e0c\u671b\u62dc\u767b\u80fd\u4ee5\u66f4\u5f3a\u6709\u529b\u7684\u884c\u52a8\u6765\u5f71\u54cd\u5c40\u52bf\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

\u5468\u4e8c\uff0c\u4eb2\u5df4\u52d2\u65af\u5766\u6297\u8bae\u8005\u805a\u96c6\u5728\u7ebd\u7ea6\u54e5\u4f26\u6bd4\u4e9a\u5927\u5b66\u6821\u56ed\u5916\u3002\u56fe\u7247\u6765\u6e90\uff1aJEENAH MOON FOR THE WALL STREET JOURNAL<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u9762\u5bf9\u6765\u81ea\u6c11\u4e3b\u515a\u548c\u5171\u548c\u515a\u7684\u538b\u529b\uff0c\u5468\u56db\uff0c\u62dc\u767b\u5c31\u6108\u6f14\u6108\u70c8\u7684\u6821\u56ed\u6297\u8bae\u6d3b\u52a8<\/a>\u5306\u5fd9\u8868\u6001\u3002\u4ed6\u8c34\u8d23\u4e86\u66b4\u529b\u548c\u7834\u574f\u884c\u4e3a\uff0c\u540c\u65f6\u627f\u8ba4\u201c\u548c\u5e73\u6297\u8bae\u662f\u7f8e\u56fd\u4eba\u7528\u4ee5\u5e94\u5bf9\u91cd\u5927\u8bae\u9898\u7684\u4f18\u826f\u4f20\u7edf\u201d\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u4f46\u6b64\u524d\uff0c\u5728\u54e5\u4f26\u6bd4\u4e9a\u5927\u5b66(Columbia University)\u5b66\u751f\u8bbe\u7acb\u652f\u6301\u5df4\u52d2\u65af\u5766\u7684\u8425\u5730\u4e4b\u540e\uff0c\u62dc\u767b\u5728\u4e24\u5468\u65f6\u95f4\u91cc\u57fa\u672c\u4fdd\u6301\u4e86\u6c89\u9ed8\uff0c\u5c3d\u7ba1\u5305\u62ec\u5171\u548c\u515a\u7c4d\u4f17\u8bae\u9662\u8bae\u957f\u8fc8\u514b\u00b7\u7ea6\u7ff0\u900a(Mike Johnson)\u5728\u5185\u7684\u5176\u4ed6\u4e00\u4e9b\u653f\u8981\u73b0\u8eab\u6821\u56ed\u547c\u5401\u6062\u590d\u79e9\u5e8f\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u8fd1\u65e5\uff0c\u62dc\u767b\u7684\u5de5\u4f5c\u91cd\u5fc3\u662f\u81ea\u5df1\u5173\u4e8e\u5815\u80ce\u6743\u548c\u534a\u5bfc\u4f53\u5236\u9020\u4e1a\u6295\u8d44\u7684\u516c\u5f00\u6f14\u8bb2\u2014\u2014\u8fd9\u4e9b\u662f\u4ed6\u7684\u7ade\u9009\u56e2\u961f\u5e0c\u671b\u5f3a\u8c03\u7684\u8bae\u9898\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u5927\u5c60\u6740\u7eaa\u5ff5\u9986(Holocaust Memorial Museum)\u4e0b\u5468\u5728\u56fd\u4f1a\u5927\u53a6\u4e3e\u884c\u5e74\u5ea6\u7eaa\u5ff5\u6d3b\u52a8\u65f6\uff0c\u4ed6\u6599\u5c06\u5c31\u53cd\u72b9\u4e8b\u4ef6\u6fc0\u589e\u73b0\u8c61\u53d1\u8a00\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u9884\u8ba1\u62dc\u767b\u5c06\u4e0e\u5df2\u9501\u5b9a\u5171\u548c\u515a\u603b\u7edf\u5019\u9009\u4eba\u63d0\u540d\u7684\u7279\u6717\u666e(Donald Trump)\u518d\u6b21\u5bf9\u51b3\uff0c\u5168\u56fd\u6027\u6c11\u8c03\u663e\u793a\uff0c\u4e24\u4eba\u7684\u652f\u6301\u7387\u57fa\u672c\u4e0d\u76f8\u4e0a\u4e0b\uff1b\u5728\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u5bf9\u5927\u9009\u7ed3\u679c\u6709\u91cd\u5927\u5f71\u54cd\u7684\u5c11\u6570\u51e0\u4e2a\u5dde\uff0c\u7279\u6717\u666e\u5728\u591a\u6570\u6c11\u8c03\u4e2d\u4ee5\u5fae\u5f31\u4f18\u52bf\u9886\u5148\u3002\u7279\u6717\u666e\u50cf\u5176\u4ed6\u5f88\u591a\u5171\u548c\u515a\u4eba\u4e00\u6837\uff0c\u5df2\u547c\u5401\u9ad8\u6821\u9886\u5bfc\u4eba\u9547\u538b\u6297\u8bae\u6d3b\u52a8\u3002\u5468\u4e09\u5728\u5a01\u65af\u5eb7\u661f\u5dde\u53c2\u52a0\u4e00\u573a\u96c6\u4f1a\u65f6\uff0c\u7279\u6717\u666e\u8bf4\u5728\u8fd9\u4e2a\u95ee\u9898\u4e0a\u62dc\u767b\u4eff\u4f5b\u9690\u8eab\u4e86\u4e00\u822c\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201c\u62dc\u767b\u653f\u5e9c\u9677\u5165\u4e86\u4e24\u4e2a\u6218\u7565\u5c42\u9762\u7684\u6b7b\u80e1\u540c\u2014\u2014\u4e00\u4e2a\u662f\u56fd\u5185\u7684\uff0c\u4e00\u4e2a\u662f\u56fd\u5916\u7684\u3002\u6211\u4e0d\u77e5\u9053\u62dc\u767b\u653f\u5e9c\u8981\u5982\u4f55\u6446\u8131\u5176\u4e2d\u4efb\u4f55\u4e00\u4e2a\uff0c\u201d \u66fe\u662f\u7f8e\u56fd\u5728\u4e2d\u4e1c\u7684\u8d44\u6df1\u5916\u4ea4\u5b98\u3001\u73b0\u4f9b\u804c\u4e8e\u5361\u5185\u57fa\u56fd\u9645\u548c\u5e73\u7814\u7a76\u9662(Carnegie Endowment for International Peace)\u7684Aaron David Miller\u8bf4\u3002\u201c\u4ed6\u5f97\u6539\u53d8\u52a0\u6c99\u7684\u5c40\u9762\uff0c\u624d\u80fd\u626d\u8f6c\u56fd\u5185\u5c40\u52bf\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u62dc\u767b\u4e4b\u6240\u4ee5\u8fdf\u8fdf\u672a\u4f5c\u56de\u5e94\uff0c\u5f88\u5927\u7a0b\u5ea6\u4e0a\u662f\u56e0\u4e3a\u767d\u5bab\u5b98\u5458\u548c\u7ade\u9009\u6d3b\u52a8\u7ba1\u7406\u4eba\u5458\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u53c2\u4e0e\u6297\u8bae\u6216\u53d7\u6297\u8bae\u5f71\u54cd\u7684\u5b66\u751f\u53ea\u662f\u5c11\u6570\u3002\u62dc\u767b\u7684\u987e\u95ee\u548c\u4e24\u515a\u7684\u4e00\u4e9b\u7b56\u7565\u5e08\u6240\u5f15\u7528\u7684\u6570\u636e\u663e\u793a\uff0c\u52a0\u6c99\u51b2\u7a81\u5e76\u4e0d\u662f\u5e74\u8f7b\u9009\u6c11\u666e\u904d\u5173\u6ce8\u7684\u91cd\u70b9\u3002
<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

\u4e0a\u5468\uff0c\u5728\u5f97\u514b\u8428\u65af\u5927\u5b66\u5965\u65af\u6c40\uff0c\u6297\u8bae\u8005\u88ab\u63a8\u5230\u6821\u56ed\u8fb9\u7f18\u3002\u56fe\u7247\u6765\u6e90\uff1aRICARDO B. BRAZZIELL\/AUSTIN AMERICAN-STATESMAN\/ASSOCIATED PRESS<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u79c1\u4e0b\u91cc\uff0c\u62dc\u767b\u7684\u4e00\u4e9b\u52a9\u624b\u5e0c\u671b\u76f8\u5173\u6821\u56ed\u6297\u8bae\u53ea\u662f\u6682\u65f6\u7684\uff0c\u7b49\u5230\u5b66\u6821\u653e\u6691\u5047\u65f6\u4f1a\u6d88\u9000\uff0c\u4e0d\u8fc7\u4ed6\u4eec\u627f\u8ba4\uff0c\u4eb2\u5df4\u52d2\u65af\u5766\u793a\u5a01\u6d3b\u52a8\u5c06\u5728\u5176\u4ed6\u5730\u65b9\u7ee7\u7eed\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u636e\u62dc\u767b\u7684\u987e\u95ee\u79f0\uff0c\u5728\u6c11\u4e3b\u515a\u5185\u5bf9\u7f8e\u56fd\u653f\u7b56\u548c\u8fd9\u4e9b\u6297\u8bae\u6d3b\u52a8\u7684\u770b\u6cd5\u5b58\u5728\u5206\u6b67\u4e4b\u9645\uff0c\u62dc\u767b\u5df2\u5728\u52aa\u529b\u907f\u514d\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u6fc0\u5316\u77db\u76fe\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u9009\u6c11\u611f\u89c9\u5230\u6df7\u4e71<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u5e74\u8f7b\u9009\u6c11\u662f\u62dc\u767b2020\u5e74\u7ade\u9009\u8054\u76df\u7684\u4e00\u4e2a\u91cd\u8981\u7ec4\u6210\u90e8\u5206\uff0c\u5728\u5e74\u8f7b\u9009\u6c11\u4e2d\u7684\u652f\u6301\u7387\u5982\u679c\u4e0b\u964d\uff0c\u5c06\u635f\u53ca\u4ed6\u7684\u7ade\u9009\u524d\u666f\u3002\u5728\u300a\u534e\u5c14\u8857\u65e5\u62a5\u300b(The Wall Street Journal)\u4eca\u5e74\u7684\u8c03\u67e5\u4e2d\uff0c\u62dc\u767b\u572830\u5c81\u4ee5\u4e0b\u9009\u6c11\u4e2d\u7684\u652f\u6301\u7387\u4e3a50%\uff0c\u8fdc\u4f4e\u4e8e2020\u5e74\u7684\u652f\u6301\u7387\uff0c\u51fa\u53e3\u6c11\u8c03\u663e\u793a\u5f53\u65f6\u4ed6\u7684\u652f\u6301\u7387\u4e3a61%\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u4ece\u66f4\u5e7f\u6cdb\u7684\u89d2\u5ea6\u6765\u770b\uff0c\u4ee5\u8272\u5217\u7684\u519b\u4e8b\u8fdb\u653b\u52a0\u5267\u4e86\u6c11\u4e3b\u515a\u5185\u90e8\u7684\u5206\u88c2\u3002\u52a0\u6c99\u5730\u5e26\u906d\u9047\u4f24\u4ea1\u548c\u9965\u9991\u7684\u5e73\u6c11\u5927\u589e\uff0c\u5bf9\u6b64\u770b\u4e0d\u8fc7\u53bb\u7684\u9009\u6c11\u8d8a\u6765\u8d8a\u591a\uff0c\u800c\u652f\u6301\u4ee5\u8272\u5217\u7684\u6210\u5458\u5219\u4e3a\u8fd9\u4e00\u884c\u52a8\u8fa9\u62a4\uff1b\u6b64\u756a\u884c\u52a8\u662f\u5728\u54c8\u9a6c\u65af\u4e8e\u53bb\u5e7410\u67087\u65e5\u653b\u51fb\u4ee5\u8272\u5217\u4e4b\u540e\u53d1\u8d77\u7684\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u5173\u952e\u6c11\u4e3b\u515a\u9009\u6c11\u7fa4\u4f53\u4e0d\u53bb\u6295\u7968\u6216\u8005\u6295\u7968\u7ed9\u7b2c\u4e09\u65b9\u5019\u9009\u4eba\u7684\u5a01\u80c1\u53ef\u80fd\u6b83\u53ca\u62dc\u767b\u7ade\u9009\u8fde\u4efb\u3002\u540c\u65f6\uff0c\u4ed6\u4e5f\u65e0\u6cd5\u627f\u53d7\u5931\u53bb\u6e29\u548c\u6d3e\u548c\u72ec\u7acb\u9009\u6c11\u652f\u6301\u7684\u4ee3\u4ef7\uff0c\u4ed6\u4eec\u66fe\u5e2e\u52a9\u4ed6\u57282020\u5e74\u53d6\u5f97\u80dc\u5229\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u5f88\u591a\u4e8b\u4ef6\u90fd\u5728\u62d6\u7d2f\u7f8e\u56fd\u4eba\u7684\u5e78\u798f\u611f\u53ca\u5176\u5bf9\u62dc\u767b\u80fd\u529b\u7684\u770b\u6cd5\uff0c\u6297\u8bae\u6d3b\u52a8\u53ea\u662f\u6700\u65b0\u7684\u4e00\u4ef6\u3002\u4f8b\u5982\uff0c\u9009\u6c11\u8ba4\u4e3a\u7f8e\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u72b6\u51b5\u4e0d\u4f73\uff0c\u867d\u8bf4\u52b3\u52a8\u529b\u5e02\u573a\u548c\u80a1\u7968\u5e02\u573a\u8868\u73b0\u5f3a\u52b2\uff1b\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u672c\u5468\u627f\u8ba4\uff0c\u901a\u80c0\u4ecd\u5177\u6709\u987d\u5f3a\u7684\u4fb5\u8680\u529b\uff1b\u4e4c\u514b\u5170\u6218\u4e89\u9677\u5165\u50f5\u5c40\uff0c\u5c3d\u7ba1\u7f8e\u56fd\u548c\u6b27\u6d32\u63d0\u4f9b\u4e86\u6570\u4ee5\u5341\u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143\u8ba1\u7684\u63f4\u52a9\u6765\u5e2e\u52a9\u62b5\u6321\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u7684\u8fdb\u72af\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u76d6\u6d1b\u666e(Gallup)\u7684\u8c03\u67e5\u663e\u793a\uff0c\u53ea\u670938%\u7684\u7f8e\u56fd\u4eba\u8ba4\u53ef\u62dc\u767b\u7684\u5de5\u4f5c\u8868\u73b0\uff0c\u76f8\u6bd4\u4e4b\u4e0b\uff0c\u524d\u603b\u7edf\u7279\u6717\u666e\u3001\u5965\u5df4\u9a6c(Barack Obama)\u548c\u5c0f\u5e03\u4ec0(George W. Bush)\u5f53\u521d\u7ade\u9009\u8fde\u4efb\u671f\u95f4\uff0c\u5728\u76f8\u5e94\u7684\u8fd9\u4e2a\u65f6\u70b9\u524d\u540e\uff0c\u8ba4\u53ef\u5176\u5de5\u4f5c\u8868\u73b0\u7684\u7f8e\u56fd\u4eba\u6bd4\u4f8b\u5206\u522b\u4e3a46%\u300148%\u548c52%\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

2020\u5e74\uff0c\u660e\u5c3c\u963f\u6ce2\u5229\u65af\uff0c\u4eba\u4eec\u4e3e\u884c\u793a\u5a01\u53cd\u5bf9\u6740\u5bb3\u4e54\u6cbb-\u5f17\u6d1b\u4f0a\u5fb7\u4e8b\u4ef6\u3002\u56fe\u7247\u6765\u6e90\uff1aSTEPHEN MATUREN\/GETTY IMAGES<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u5c45\u4e8e\u5bbe\u5915\u6cd5\u5c3c\u4e9a\u5dde\u3001\u4e3a\u6c11\u4e3b\u515a\u7c4d\u53c2\u9009\u4eba\u5236\u4f5c\u5e7f\u544a\u7684J.J. Balaban\u8bf4\uff1a\u201c\u5f53\u9009\u6c11\u611f\u89c9\u60c5\u51b5\u6df7\u4e71\u65f6\uff0c\u5728\u6295\u7968\u4e60\u60ef\u65b9\u9762\u4ed6\u4eec\u5f80\u5f80\u4f1a\u503e\u5411\u4e8e\u66f4\u52a0\u4fdd\u5b88\u3002\u201d\u4ed6\u4e3e\u4e86\u6797\u767b\u00b7\u7ea6\u7ff0\u900a(Lyndon Johnson)\u7684\u4f8b\u5b50\uff0c\u7ea6\u7ff0\u900a\u57281964\u5e74\u7684\u603b\u7edf\u5927\u9009\u4e2d\u53d6\u5f97\u4e86\u538b\u5012\u6027\u80dc\u5229\uff0c\u4f46\u5230\u4e861968\u5e74\u7684\u5927\u9009\uff0c\u5728\u7f8e\u56fd\u53d1\u751f\u5e7f\u6cdb\u5185\u4e71\uff08\u5305\u62ec\u53cd\u5bf9\u8d8a\u6218\u7684\u5927\u89c4\u6a21\u793a\u5a01\u6d3b\u52a8\uff09\u7684\u80cc\u666f\u4e0b\uff0c \u4ed6\u6240\u5728\u7684\u6c11\u4e3b\u515a\u8d25\u7ed9\u4e86\u5171\u548c\u515a\u4eba\u5c3c\u514b\u677e(Richard Nixon)\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

2020\u5e74\uff0c\u660e\u5c3c\u963f\u6ce2\u5229\u65af\u7684\u4e00\u540d\u8b66\u5bdf\u6740\u5bb3\u4e86\u4e54\u6cbb-\u5f17\u6d1b\u4f0a\u5fb7(George Floyd)\uff0c\u968f\u540e\u4e00\u4e9b\u5730\u65b9\u53d1\u751f\u4e86\u9488\u5bf9\u79cd\u65cf\u4e0d\u516c\u7684\u6297\u8bae\u6d3b\u52a8\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e9b\u6297\u8bae\u6d3b\u52a8\u6f14\u53d8\u6210\u66b4\u529b\u4e8b\u4ef6\uff0c\u7279\u6717\u666e\u5f53\u65f6\u4e89\u8fa9\u79f0\uff0c\u4ed6\u80fd\u591f\u6700\u597d\u5730\u6062\u590d\u79e9\u5e8f\u3002\u7279\u6717\u666e\u6700\u7ec8\u8f93\u6389\u5927\u9009\uff0c\u4f46\u5dee\u8ddd\u4e0d\u5927\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u8d44\u6df1\u6c11\u4e3b\u515a\u7b56\u7565\u5e08Mark Mellman\u8bf4\uff0c\u5728\u4e0e\u52a0\u6c99\u95ee\u9898\u6709\u5173\u7684\u8fa9\u8bba\u4e2d\uff0c\u7edd\u5927\u591a\u6570\u7f8e\u56fd\u4eba\u5e76\u4e0d\u5173\u6ce8\u8fa9\u8bba\u7684\u5b9e\u8d28\uff0c\u5982\u7f8e\u56fd\u5bf9\u4ee5\u8272\u5217\u7684\u653f\u7b56\u6216\u8981\u6c42\u5265\u79bb\u6295\u8d44\u7684\u547c\u58f0\uff0c\u800c\u662f\u5173\u6ce8\u7535\u89c6\u753b\u9762\u548c\u7f8e\u56fd\u56fd\u5185\u6297\u8bae\u6d3b\u52a8\u7684\u57fa\u8c03\uff1bMellman\u540c\u65f6\u4e5f\u9886\u5bfc\u4e00\u4e2a\u652f\u6301\u4ee5\u8272\u5217\u7684\u653f\u6cbb\u56e2\u4f53\u3002\u4ed6\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u770b\u4f3c\u5931\u63a7\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\u5bf9\u4ed6\u7684\u653f\u515a\u6765\u8bf4\u662f\u4e00\u79cd\u98ce\u9669\uff0c\u5373\u4f7f\u5728\u4ed6\u770b\u6765\u7f8e\u56fd\u5e76\u672a\u5931\u63a7\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u66fe\u62c5\u4efb\u7f8e\u56fd\u524d\u603b\u7edf\u514b\u6797\u987f(Bill Clinton)\u767d\u5bab\u52a9\u624b\u7684Doug Sosnik\u8bf4\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e9b\u6297\u8bae\u6d3b\u52a8\u53ef\u80fd\u5e2e\u52a9\u7279\u6717\u666e\u6bd4\u5bf9\u62dc\u767b\u3002Sosnik\u8bf4\uff1a\u201c\u8fd9\u5b9e\u9645\u4e0a\u662f\u4ed6\u7684\u5143\u53d9\u4e8b\uff1a\u4ed6\u662f\u4e00\u4e2a\u5f3a\u6709\u529b\u7684\u9886\u5bfc\u4eba\uff0c\u4ed6\u7684\u76ee\u6807\u662f\u4e0e\u62dc\u767b\u4f5c\u4e3a\u9886\u5bfc\u4eba\u7684\u8f6f\u5f31\u5f62\u6210\u5bf9\u6bd4\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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\u62dc\u767b\u7684\u7ade\u9009\u56e2\u961f\u5e0c\u671b\uff0c\u90a3\u4e9b\u5bf9\u62dc\u767b\u5904\u7406\u52a0\u6c99\u51b2\u7a81\u7684\u65b9\u5f0f\u611f\u5230\u4e0d\u6ee1\u7684\u9009\u6c11\u6700\u7ec8\u4f1a\u5728\u4eca\u5e7411\u6708\u7684\u5927\u9009\u4e2d\u652f\u6301\u62dc\u767b\uff0c\u800c\u4e0d\u662f\u7279\u6717\u666e\u3002\u4f46\u8bb8\u591a\u9009\u6c11\u8fd8\u6ca1\u6709\u51b3\u5b9a\u4f1a\u652f\u6301\u8c01\uff0c\u4f8b\u5982\u6c11\u4e3b\u515a\u7b56\u7565\u5e08Abbas Alawieh\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Alawieh\u8bf4\uff0c\u62dc\u767b\u65e0\u6761\u4ef6\u5730\u7ee7\u7eed\u4e3a\u4ee5\u8272\u5217\u63d0\u4f9b\u8d44\u91d1\uff0c\u672a\u80fd\u5728\u7f13\u89e3\u5927\u5b66\u751f\u4e0d\u6ee1\u60c5\u7eea\u65b9\u9762\u53d1\u6325\u6709\u6548\u4f5c\u7528\u3002Alawieh\u662f\u4eca\u5e742\u6708\u5728\u5bc6\u6b47\u6839\u5dde\u7684\u8fea\u5c14\u4f2f\u6069\u4e0e\u62dc\u767b\u653f\u5e9c\u5b98\u5458\u4f1a\u6664\u7684\u793e\u533a\u9886\u8896\u4e2d\u7684\u4e00\u4f4d\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

1967\u5e74\u5728\u7ebd\u7ea6\u4e3e\u884c\u7684\u4e00\u573a\u53cd\u6218\u793a\u5a01\u6e38\u884c\u3002\u56fe\u7247\u6765\u6e90\uff1aVITTORIANO RASTELLI\/GETTY IMAGES<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201c\u81ea\u4ece\u6211\u4eec\u4f1a\u6664\u4ee5\u6765\uff0c\u80cc\u53db\u7684\u611f\u89c9\u52a0\u6df1\u4e86\uff0c\u201dAlawieh\u8bf4\u3002\u201c\u62dc\u767b\u52a0\u5267\u4e86\u7d27\u5f20\u5c40\u52bf\uff0c\u4ed6\u4e0d\u4ec5\u7ee7\u7eed\u4e3a\u8fd9\u573a\u6218\u4e89\u6b22\u547c\uff0c\u800c\u4e14\u8fd8\u652f\u6301\u8fd9\u573a\u6218\u4e89\uff0c\u8fd9\u5728\u6211\u4eec\u6c11\u4e3b\u515a\u9635\u8425\u7684\u5173\u952e\u652f\u6301\u8005\u4e2d\u6fc0\u5316\u4e86\u73af\u5883\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u7ade\u9009\u7684\u8bae\u9898<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u6297\u8bae\u6d3b\u52a8\u5e26\u6765\u7684\u53e6\u4e00\u4e2a\u6311\u6218\u662f\uff0c\u9009\u6c11\u8868\u8fbe\u6124\u6012\u7684\u7a7a\u95f4\u662f\u6709\u9650\u7684\uff0c\u800c\u5bf9\u4ee5\u8272\u5217-\u54c8\u9a6c\u65af\u6218\u4e89\u7684\u611f\u53d7\u6b63\u5728\u538b\u5012\u90a3\u4e9b\u53ef\u80fd\u5c06\u9009\u6c11\u63a8\u5411\u62dc\u767b\u7684\u8bae\u9898\u3002Balaban\u8bf4\uff1a\u201c\u5927\u5b66\u751f\u4eec\u5728\u6297\u8bae\u52a0\u6c99\u8fd9\u4e2a\u5206\u88c2\u6c11\u4e3b\u515a\u7684\u95ee\u9898\uff0c\u800c\u4e0d\u662f\u6297\u8bae\u7f8e\u56fd\u5927\u7247\u5730\u533a\u4e27\u5931\u5815\u80ce\u6743\u7684\u95ee\u9898\uff0c\u800c\u540e\u8005\u662f\u4e00\u4e2a\u5206\u88c2\u5171\u548c\u515a\u5374\u56e2\u7ed3\u6c11\u4e3b\u515a\u7684\u95ee\u9898\uff0c\u8fd9\u663e\u7136\u635f\u5bb3\u4e86\u6c11\u4e3b\u515a\u7684\u673a\u4f1a\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u5728\u5386\u53f2\u4e0a\uff0c\u66fe\u51fa\u73b0\u8fc7\u5916\u4ea4\u653f\u7b56\u5bf9\u6c11\u4e3b\u515a\u548c\u6574\u4e2a\u7f8e\u56fd\u7684\u5206\u88c2\u4f5c\u7528\u6bd4\u73b0\u5728\u66f4\u4e25\u91cd\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\uff0c\u5c24\u5176\u662f\u5728\u7f8e\u519b\u5377\u5165\u51b2\u7a81\u7684\u65f6\u5019\u3002\u66fe\u6709\u6210\u5343\u4e0a\u4e07\u7684\u4eba\u53c2\u52a0\u4e86\u53cd\u5bf9\u8d8a\u5357\u6218\u4e89\u7684\u6e38\u884c\uff0c\u5305\u62ec1967\u5e74\u5728\u7ebd\u7ea6\u4e3e\u884c\u7684\u4e00\u6b21\u4f30\u8ba1\u6709\u8d85\u8fc7\u5341\u4e07\u4eba\u53c2\u52a0\u7684\u53cd\u6218\u793a\u5a01\u6e38\u884c\uff0c\u6b64\u6b21\u6e38\u884c\u4fc3\u4f7f\u6797\u767b\u00b7\u7ea6\u7ff0\u900a\u7ec8\u6b62\u4e86\u65e8\u5728\u83b7\u5f97\u8fde\u4efb\u7684\u7ade\u9009\u6d3b\u52a8\u3002\u57281968\u5e74\u4e8e\u829d\u52a0\u54e5\u4e3e\u884c\u7684\u6c11\u4e3b\u515a\u5168\u56fd\u4ee3\u8868\u5927\u4f1a\u4e0a\uff0c\u5f53\u6c11\u4e3b\u515a\u6311\u9009\u7ea6\u7ff0\u900a\u7684\u7ee7\u4efb\u8005\u65f6\uff0c\u6297\u8bae\u8005\u5728\u4f1a\u573a\u5916\u4e0e\u8b66\u5bdf\u53d1\u751f\u51b2\u7a81\u3002\u800c\u5982\u4eca\uff0c\u53c2\u52a0\u6821\u56ed\u6297\u8bae\u6d3b\u52a8\u7684\u7f8e\u56fd\u4eba\u8981\u5c11\u5f97\u591a\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

\u7f8e\u56fd\u524d\u603b\u7edf\u7279\u6717\u666e\u5468\u4e09\u5728\u5a01\u65af\u5eb7\u661f\u5dde\u53c2\u52a0\u7ade\u9009\u6d3b\u52a8\u3002\u56fe\u7247\u6765\u6e90\uff1aDANIEL STEINLE\/BLOOMBERG NEWS<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u6c11\u610f\u8c03\u67e5\u53d1\u73b0\uff0c\u53ea\u6709\u6781\u5c11\u6570\u9009\u6c11\u5c06\u7f8e\u56fd\u5bf9\u52a0\u6c99\u6218\u4e89\u7684\u653f\u7b56\u89c6\u4e3a\u5bf9\u81ea\u5df1\u6295\u7968\u6765\u8bf4\u6700\u91cd\u8981\u7684\u95ee\u9898\uff0c\u5728\u300a\u534e\u5c14\u8857\u65e5\u62a5\u300b\u4eca\u5e74\u8fdb\u884c\u7684\u6570\u9879\u8c03\u67e5\u4e2d\uff0c\u53ea\u67092%\u7684\u9009\u6c11\u8fd9\u4e48\u8ba4\u4e3a\u3002\u7ecf\u6d4e\u95ee\u9898\u5728\u9009\u6c11\u4e2d\u7684\u5173\u6ce8\u5ea6\u8981\u9ad8\u5f97\u591a\uff0c\u5c24\u5176\u662f\u5728\u90a3\u4e9b\u5c1a\u672a\u505a\u51fa\u51b3\u5b9a\u6216\u5c1a\u672a\u5b8c\u5168\u51b3\u5b9a\u652f\u6301\u54ea\u4f4d\u5019\u9009\u4eba\u7684\u9009\u6c11\u4e2d\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u6839\u636e\u54c8\u4f5b\u5927\u5b66\u9752\u5e74\u6c11\u8c03(Harvard Youth Poll)\u6700\u8fd1\u7684\u4e00\u9879\u8c03\u67e5\uff0c30\u5c81\u4ee5\u4e0b\u9009\u6c11\u5bf9\u5916\u4ea4\u653f\u7b56\u7684\u5173\u5fc3\u7a0b\u5ea6\u8fdc\u4f4e\u4e8e\u5bf9\u7ecf\u6d4e\u95ee\u9898\u7684\u5173\u5fc3\uff0c\u540e\u8005\u4ecd\u7136\u662f\u4ed6\u4eec\u6700\u5173\u5fc3\u7684\u95ee\u9898\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Richard Thau\u8bf4\uff0c\u4ed6\u5728\u6700\u8fd1\u7684\u5de5\u4f5c\u4e2d\u53d1\u73b0\uff0c\u8bb8\u591a\u5e74\u8f7b\u9009\u6c11\u652f\u6301\u6297\u8bae\u6d3b\u52a8\u7684\u76ee\u6807\uff0c\u4f46\u6295\u5165\u7a0b\u5ea6\u8f83\u4f4e\uff1b Thau\u8d1f\u8d23\u7ec4\u7ec7\u7acb\u573a\u6447\u6446\u4e0d\u5b9a\u7684\u9009\u6c11\u5bf9\u4e00\u4e9b\u7126\u70b9\u95ee\u9898\u8fdb\u884c\u5c0f\u7ec4\u8ba8\u8bba\u3002Thau\u8868\u793a\uff1a\u201c\u652f\u6301\u7684\u5bbd\u5ea6\u6709\u4e00\u82f1\u91cc\uff0c\u4f46\u6df1\u5ea6\u53ea\u6709\u4e09\u82f1\u5bf8\u3002\u201d\u4ed6\u672c\u5468\u5728\u5a01\u65af\u5eb7\u661f\u5927\u5b66(University of Wisconsin)\u7cfb\u7edf\u5185\u7684\u72ec\u7acb\u9009\u6c11\u4e2d\u5c31\u7126\u70b9\u95ee\u9898\u7ec4\u7ec7\u4e86\u4e24\u6b21\u5c0f\u7ec4\u8ba8\u8bba\uff0c2020\u5e74\u65f6\u8fd9\u4e9b\u9009\u6c11\u8fd8\u90fd\u8fd8\u592a\u5e74\u8f7b\uff0c\u65e0\u6cd5\u53c2\u52a0\u6295\u7968\u3002\u201c\u5f88\u660e\u663e\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e9b\u5b66\u751f\u5bf9\u52a0\u6c99\u4eba\u6c11\u7684\u906d\u9047\u611f\u540c\u8eab\u53d7\uff0c\u4f46\u5927\u591a\u6570\u4eba\u4e0d\u4f1a\u4e3a\u51cf\u8f7b\u5df4\u52d2\u65af\u5766\u4eba\u7684\u82e6\u96be\u800c\u4ed8\u51fa\u989d\u5916\u7684\u52aa\u529b\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u62c5\u4efb\u4fe1\u606f\u6d4b\u8bd5\u516c\u53f8Engagious\u603b\u88c1\u7684Thau\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u5b66\u751f\u4eec\u5bf9\u7f8e\u56fd\u7684\u653f\u7b56\u6301\u5632\u8bbd\u6001\u5ea6\uff0c\u8ba4\u4e3a\u7f8e\u56fd\u7684\u653f\u7b56\u53d7\u5236\u4e8e\u56fd\u9632\u627f\u5305\u5546\u7b49\u5229\u76ca\u96c6\u56e2\u3002\u5728\u4ed6\u6240\u7ec4\u7ec7\u768416\u540d\u5b66\u751f\u4e2d\uff0c\u6ca1\u6709\u4eba\u8ba4\u4e3a\u7279\u6717\u666e\u5904\u7406\u8fd9\u4e00\u6218\u4e89\u95ee\u9898\u4f1a\u6bd4\u62dc\u767b\u5904\u7406\u5f97\u66f4\u597d\uff0c\u4e5f\u5f88\u5c11\u6709\u4eba\u8bf4\u8fd9\u4e2a\u95ee\u9898\u5c06\u51b3\u5b9a\u4ed6\u4eec\u628a\u9009\u7968\u6295\u7ed9\u8c01\u3002\u5728\u4e00\u5f20\u53ea\u6709\u7279\u6717\u666e\u548c\u62dc\u767b\u4e24\u540d\u5019\u9009\u4eba\u7684\u9009\u7968\u4e0a\uff0c16\u540d\u5b66\u751f\u4e2d\u6709\u516d\u4eba\u8868\u793a\u4ed6\u4eec\u6839\u672c\u4e0d\u4f1a\u6295\u7968\uff0c\u4e03\u4eba\u8868\u793a\u4f1a\u652f\u6301\u62dc\u767b\uff0c\u4e09\u4eba\u8868\u793a\u4f1a\u652f\u6301\u7279\u6717\u666e\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u6821\u56ed\u6297\u8bae\u6d3b\u52a8\u8ba9\u4e00\u4e9b\u7f8e\u56fd\u4eba\u5bf9\u4e8e\u7f8e\u56fd\u575a\u51b3\u652f\u6301\u4ee5\u8272\u5217\u7684\u4f20\u7edf\u611f\u5230\u4e0d\u5b89\u3002\u652f\u6301\u5df4\u52d2\u65af\u5766\u7684\u8fd0\u52a8\u6b64\u524d\u5728\u7f8e\u56fd\u603b\u4f53\u4e0a\u7f3a\u5c11\u653f\u6cbb\u5173\u6ce8\uff0c\u4f46\u76ee\u524d\uff0c\u547c\u5401\u5173\u6ce8\u5df4\u52d2\u65af\u5766\u4eba\u6570\u5341\u5e74\u6765\u56f0\u5883\u4ee5\u53ca\u5efa\u7acb\u72ec\u7acb\u56fd\u5bb6\u613f\u671b\u7684\u8fd0\u52a8\u5df2\u83b7\u5f97\u6781\u5927\u53cd\u54cd\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

\u5468\u56db\uff0c\u4ee5\u8272\u5217\u58eb\u5175\u5728\u52a0\u6c99\u5730\u5e26\u5357\u90e8\u8fb9\u5883\u9644\u8fd1\u3002\u56fe\u7247\u6765\u6e90\uff1aAMIR LEVY\/GETTY IMAGES<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u8fd9\u4e00\u52a8\u5411\u65e2\u8868\u660e\u7f8e\u56fd\u5e74\u8f7b\u4eba\u66f4\u52a0\u540c\u60c5\u5df4\u52d2\u65af\u5766\u4e8b\u4e1a\uff0c\u4e5f\u8868\u660e\u7f8e\u56fd\u7a46\u65af\u6797\u548c\u963f\u62c9\u4f2f\u88d4\u7f8e\u56fd\u4eba\u7fa4\u4f53\u7684\u529b\u91cf\u65e5\u76ca\u58ee\u5927\u3002\u76ae\u5c24\u7814\u7a76\u4e2d\u5fc3(Pew Research Center)\u53d1\u73b0\uff0c2007\u5e74\u81f32020\u5e74\u95f4\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u7a46\u65af\u6797\u5c45\u6c11\u6570\u91cf\u589e\u957f64%\uff0c\u8fbe\u5230385\u4e07\u4eba\uff0c\u7565\u9ad8\u4e8e\u7f8e\u56fd\u4eba\u53e3\u76841%\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u62dc\u767b\u7684\u4e00\u4e2a\u9009\u62e9\u662f\u8bd5\u56fe\u8bf4\u670d\u6447\u6446\u4e0d\u5b9a\u7684\u9009\u6c11\uff0c\u8ba9\u8fd9\u4e9b\u4eba\u76f8\u4fe1\uff0c\u7279\u6717\u666e\u4e00\u65e6\u4e0a\u53f0\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u5bf9\u4ee5\u8272\u5217\u548c\u5df4\u52d2\u65af\u5766\u7684\u653f\u7b56\u4f1a\u8ba9\u4ed6\u4eec\u66f4\u52a0\u4e0d\u6ee1\u3002\u7279\u6717\u666e\u7684\u767d\u5bab\u9ad8\u7ea7\u52a9\u624b\u7c73\u52d2(Stephen Miller)\u66fe\u5728\u793e\u4ea4\u5a92\u4f53\u4e0a\u6697\u793a\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u7279\u6717\u666e\u8d62\u5f97\u5927\u9009\uff0c\u79fb\u6c11\u90e8\u95e8\u5c06\u9488\u5bf9\u4eb2\u5df4\u52d2\u65af\u5766\u7684\u6297\u8bae\u8005\u91c7\u53d6\u884c\u52a8\u3002\u6700\u8fd1\u63a5\u53d7\u300a\u65f6\u4ee3\u300b(Time)\u6742\u5fd7\u91c7\u8bbf\u65f6\uff0c\u7279\u6717\u666e\u6307\u51fa\u4ed6\u62c5\u4efb\u603b\u7edf\u65f6\u4e3a\u652f\u6301\u4ee5\u8272\u5217\u6240\u91c7\u53d6\u7684\u63aa\u65bd\uff0c\u5e76\u6de1\u5316\u4e86\u5df4\u52d2\u65af\u5766\u5efa\u56fd\u7684\u524d\u666f\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u4e0e\u6b64\u540c\u65f6\uff0c\u4f17\u8bae\u9662\u5171\u548c\u515a\u4eba\u5219\u5bf9\u62dc\u767b\u548c\u5927\u5b66\u9886\u5bfc\u4eba\u5904\u7406\u6297\u8bae\u6d3b\u52a8\u7684\u65b9\u5f0f\u63d0\u51fa\u4e86\u65e0\u60c5\u6279\u8bc4\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u4e89\u53d6\u4e2d\u4e1c\u505c\u706b<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u62dc\u767b\u7684\u547d\u8fd0\u5728\u4e00\u5b9a\u7a0b\u5ea6\u4e0a\u53d6\u51b3\u4e8e\u5feb\u901f\u53d1\u5c55\u7684\u4e2d\u4e1c\u5c40\u52bf\u3002\u5728\u7f8e\u56fd\u4e2d\u592e\u60c5\u62a5\u5c40\u5c40\u957f\u4f2f\u6069\u65af(William Burns)\u7684\u79ef\u6781\u53c2\u4e0e\u4e0b\uff0c\u57c3\u53ca\u548c\u5361\u5854\u5c14\u51e0\u4e2a\u6708\u6765\u5c31\u4e2d\u4e1c\u505c\u706b\u548c\u91ca\u653e\u4eba\u8d28\u95ee\u9898\u8fdb\u884c\u4e86\u65a1\u65cb\uff0c\u4f46\u672a\u80fd\u53d6\u5f97\u6210\u679c\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u767d\u5bab\u53d1\u8a00\u4eba\u67ef\u6bd4(John Kirby)\u5468\u4e8c\u8868\u793a\uff1a\u201c\u5982\u679c\u6211\u4eec\u80fd\u5b9e\u73b0\u505c\u706b\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u5c31\u80fd\u5f97\u5230\u66f4\u6301\u4e45\u7684\u4e1c\u897f\uff0c\u7136\u540e\u4e5f\u8bb8\u5c31\u80fd\u7ed3\u675f\u51b2\u7a81\uff0c\u7136\u540e\u4e5f\u8bb8\u5c31\u80fd\u63a8\u8fdb\uff08\u4ee5\u8272\u5217\u548c\u6c99\u7279\u4e4b\u95f4\uff09\u5173\u7cfb\u6b63\u5e38\u5316\uff0c\u4f46\u8fd9\u5fc5\u987b\u4ece\u8fbe\u6210\u534f\u8bae\u548c\u8ba9\u4eba\u8d28\u56de\u5230\u5bb6\u4eba\u8eab\u8fb9\u5f00\u59cb\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u67ef\u6bd4\u79f0\uff0c\u5bf9\u4e8e\u4ea4\u6218\u53cc\u65b9\u76ee\u524d\u6b63\u5728\u8003\u8651\u7684\u505c\u706b\u548c\u4eba\u8d28\u91ca\u653e\u63d0\u8bae\uff0c\u767d\u5bab\u6ca1\u6709\u5907\u9009\u8ba1\u5212\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

\u672c\u5468\u62c9\u6cd5\u6d41\u79bb\u5931\u6240\u7684\u5df4\u52d2\u65af\u5766\u4eba\u3002\u56fe\u7247\u6765\u6e90\uff1aAGENCE FRANCE-PRESSE\/GETTY IMAGES<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u62dc\u767b\u6b63\u8bd5\u56fe\u5728\u590d\u6742\u7684\u76ee\u6807\u4e4b\u95f4\u505a\u51fa\u5e73\u8861\uff0c\u5305\u62ec\u5728\u652f\u6301\u4ee5\u8272\u5217\u7684\u540c\u65f6\u63a8\u52a8\u5176\u8fdb\u884c\u8c08\u5224\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u5728\u6df1\u5316\u7f8e\u56fd\u4e0e\u6c99\u7279\u5173\u7cfb\u7684\u540c\u65f6\u4ecd\u5bf9\u6c99\u7279\u6709\u6240\u4fdd\u7559\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u53e6\u4e00\u4e2a\u6311\u6218\u662f\uff0c\u62dc\u767b\u8bd5\u56fe\u5b9e\u73b0\u4e00\u4e9b\u957f\u671f\u76ee\u6807\uff0c\u800c\u4ed6\u7684\u4efb\u671f\u53ef\u80fd\u53ea\u5230\u660e\u5e741\u6708\u4efd\u3002\u6218\u7565\u4e0e\u56fd\u9645\u95ee\u9898\u7814\u7a76\u4e2d\u5fc3(Center for Strategic and International Studies)\u7684\u4e2d\u4e1c\u95ee\u9898\u4e13\u5bb6Jon Alterman\u8868\u793a\uff1a\u201c\u4ed6\u5728\u4e0e\u6c11\u4e3b\u548c\u975e\u6c11\u4e3b\u653f\u5e9c\u6253\u4ea4\u9053\uff0c\u4f46\u4ed6\u6b63\u76ef\u7740\u81ea\u5df1\u7684\u653f\u6cbb\u65f6\u949f\uff0c\u522b\u4eba\u4f1a\u5229\u7528\u8fd9\u4e00\u70b9\u6765\u5bf9\u4ed8\u4ed6\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u5982\u679c\u6ca1\u6709\u8fbe\u6210\u81f3\u5c11\u53ef\u4ee5\u6682\u65f6\u505c\u706b\u7684\u534f\u8bae\uff0c\u65f6\u95f4\u8fc7\u5f97\u8d8a\u4e45\uff0c\u4ee5\u8272\u5217\u5c31\u8d8a\u6709\u53ef\u80fd\u5165\u4fb5\u62c9\u6cd5\u3002\u7f8e\u56fd\u56fd\u52a1\u537f\u5e03\u6797\u80af(Antony Blinken)\u5468\u4e09\u91cd\u7533\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u53cd\u5bf9\u4ee5\u8272\u5217\u5728\u62c9\u6cd5\u53d1\u52a8\u65e0\u6cd5\u4f7f\u5e73\u6c11\u4e0d\u53d7\u4f24\u5bb3\u7684\u8fdb\u653b\uff0c\u5e76\u79f0\u4ed6\u5c1a\u672a\u770b\u5230\u4ee5\u8272\u5217\u65b9\u9762\u6709\u4fdd\u8bc1\u5e73\u6c11\u5b89\u5168\u7684\u8ba1\u5212\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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\u4e3a\u4fc3\u4f7f\u6c99\u7279\u63a5\u7eb3\u4ee5\u8272\u5217\uff0c\u767d\u5bab\u6b63\u5411\u6c99\u7279\u63d0\u51fa\u4e0e\u7f8e\u56fd\u5efa\u7acb\u66f4\u6b63\u5f0f\u7684\u9632\u52a1\u5173\u7cfb\u3001\u534f\u52a9\u6c99\u7279\u83b7\u5f97\u6c11\u7528\u6838\u80fd\u4ee5\u53ca\u91cd\u65b0\u63a8\u52a8\u5efa\u7acb\u5df4\u52d2\u65af\u5766\u56fd\u3002\u7f8e\u56fd\u5b98\u5458\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u4ed6\u4eec\u6b63\u5904\u4e8e\u8c08\u5224\u7684\u6700\u540e\u9636\u6bb5\uff0c\u5e76\u9700\u8981\u5f97\u5230\u610f\u89c1\u4e25\u91cd\u5206\u6b67\u7684\u7f8e\u56fd\u56fd\u4f1a\u7684\u6279\u51c6\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u8981\u5728\u4eca\u5e74\u590f\u5929\u7684\u6c11\u4e3b\u515a\u5168\u56fd\u4ee3\u8868\u5927\u4f1a\u4e4b\u524d\u8fbe\u6210\u8fd9\u6837\u4e00\u9879\u534f\u8bae\uff0c\u5305\u62ec\u5728\u56fd\u4f1a\u83b7\u5f97\u6279\u51c6\u7f8e\u56fd-\u6c99\u7279\u6761\u7ea6\u7684\u8d85\u7ea7\u591a\u6570\u7968\uff0c\u4f3c\u4e4e\u4e0d\u592a\u53ef\u80fd\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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Copyright \u00a92024 Dow Jones & Company, Inc. All Rights Reserved. 87990cbe856818d5eddac44c7b1cdeb8<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

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