{"id":16734,"date":"2024-08-22T23:00:24","date_gmt":"2024-08-23T03:00:24","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/newswz.com\/?p=16734"},"modified":"2024-08-22T23:03:03","modified_gmt":"2024-08-23T03:03:03","slug":"%e4%b9%8c%e5%85%8b%e5%85%b0%e5%9c%a8%e5%ba%93%e5%b0%94%e6%96%af%e5%85%8b%e5%8c%85%e5%9b%b4%e4%bf%84%e5%86%9b%ef%bc%8c%e4%b8%ba%e6%8c%81%e4%b9%85%e6%88%98%e5%81%9a%e5%87%86%e5%a4%87","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/newswz.com\/?p=16734","title":{"rendered":"\u4e4c\u514b\u5170\u5728\u5e93\u5c14\u65af\u514b\u5305\u56f4\u4fc4\u519b\uff0c\u4e3a\u6301\u4e45\u6218\u505a\u51c6\u5907"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

\u4e4c\u514b\u5170\u58eb\u5175\u79bb\u5f00\u4e4c\u514b\u5170\u82cf\u6885\u524d\u5f80\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u5e93\u5c14\u65af\u514b\u5730\u533a\u524d\u7ebf\u3002\u00a0\u56fe\u7247\u6765\u6e90\uff1aSvet Jacqueline for WSJ<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u6587\u7ae0\u6765\u6e90: \u534e\u5c14\u8857\u65e5\u62a5 \u2013 \u65b0\u95fb\u53d6\u81ea\u5404\u5927\u65b0\u95fb\u5a92\u4f53\uff0c\u65b0\u95fb\u5185\u5bb9\u5e76\u4e0d\u4ee3\u8868\u672c\u7f51\u7acb\u573a\uff01<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

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Ryan\u8868\u793a\uff1a\u201c\u4e4c\u519b\u6b63\u5728\u5360\u636e\u66f4\u6613\u4e8e\u9632\u5b88\u7684\u5730\u5f62\uff0c\u79bb\u4e4c\u514b\u5170\u66f4\u8fd1\u3001\u4e14\u66f4\u65b9\u4fbf\u652f\u63f4\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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\u5728\u5e93\u5c14\u65af\u514b\u5730\u533a\uff0c\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u4e3b\u8981\u6865\u6881\u88ab\u6bc1<\/h4>\n\n\n\n
\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

\u5236\u56fe\u6765\u6e90\uff1aInstitute for the Study of War and AEI\u2019s Critical Threats Project\uff08\u4e4c\u514b\u5170\u7684\u8fdb\u5c55\u3001\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u7684\u519b\u961f\uff09; staff reports\uff08\u6865\u6881\u653b\u51fb\uff09 Andrew Barnett\/WSJ
Andrew Barnett\/WSJ<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ryan\u8bf4\uff1a\u201c\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u6709\u7406\u7531\u89c2\u5bdf\u4e8b\u6001\u53d1\u5c55\uff0c\u5e76\u6295\u5165\u8db3\u591f\u5175\u529b\u6765\u5ef6\u7f13\u4e4c\u514b\u5170\u4eba\u7684\u884c\u52a8\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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\u5361\u5185\u57fa\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u6b27\u4e9a\u4e2d\u5fc3(Carnegie Russia Eurasia Center)\u9ad8\u7ea7\u7814\u7a76\u5458Tatiana Stanovaya\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u83ab\u65af\u79d1\u65b9\u9762\u5bf9\u5e93\u5c14\u65af\u514b\u7684\u5c40\u52bf\u5e76\u4e0d\u611f\u5230\u6050\u614c\u3002\u5979\u8bf4\uff0c\u666e\u4eac\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u4e4c\u514b\u5170\u5728\u5e93\u5c14\u65af\u514b\u7684\u653b\u52bf\u5bf9\u4ed6\u66f4\u5e7f\u6cdb\u7684\u6218\u7565\u8003\u91cf\u51e0\u4e4e\u6ca1\u6709\u5f71\u54cd\uff0c\u666e\u4eac\u6218\u7565\u8003\u91cf\u7684\u6838\u5fc3\u662f\u593a\u53d6\u6574\u4e2a\u987f\u6d85\u8328\u514b\u5730\u533a\uff0c\u6700\u7ec8\u5bfc\u81f4\u4e4c\u514b\u5170\u653f\u5e9c\u57ae\u53f0\uff0c\u4ece\u800c\u4e3a\u6709\u5229\u4e8e\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u7684\u8c08\u5224\u94fa\u5e73\u9053\u8def\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n
\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u52a0\u5927\u53cd\u51fb\u529b\u5ea6\u3002\u4e4c\u519b\u6b63\u5728\u6269\u5927\u5bf9\u4e4c\u4fc4\u8fb9\u5883\u7684\u63a7\u5236\uff0c\u5e76\u88ad\u51fb\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u7684\u8865\u7ed9\u7ebf\u3002\u56fe\u7247\u6765\u6e90\uff1aSvet Jacqueline for WSJ (2)<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Stanovaya\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u4fc4\u519b\u4e0d\u60f3\u88ab\u8bf1\u5165\u4ee3\u4ef7\u9ad8\u6602\u7684\u5e93\u5c14\u65af\u514b\u653b\u52bf\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u8fd9\u53ef\u80fd\u9700\u8981\u5728\u5f53\u5730\u91c7\u7528\u6b64\u524d\u5728\u963f\u592b\u8fea\u592b\u5361\u548c\u5df4\u8d6b\u7a46\u7279\u7b49\u4e4c\u514b\u5170\u57ce\u9547\u4f7f\u7528\u8fc7\u7684\u90a3\u79cd\u7126\u571f\u6218\u7565\u3002\u5728\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u81ea\u5df1\u7684\u5e93\u5c14\u65af\u514b\u57ce\u9547\u91c7\u53d6\u540c\u6837\u7684\u7b56\u7565\u662f\u7ad9\u4e0d\u4f4f\u811a\u7684\uff0c\u4f55\u51b5\u90a3\u91cc\u8fd8\u6709\u4e00\u4e9b\u5e73\u6c11\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201c\u5982\u679c\u666e\u4eac\u627e\u4e0d\u5230\u519b\u4e8b\u89e3\u51b3\u65b9\u6848\uff0c\u90a3\u4e48\u8fd9\u79cd\u5c40\u52bf\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u6301\u7eed\u6570\u6708\u751a\u81f3\u4e00\u5e74\uff0c\u201dStanovaya\u5728\u8c08\u5230\u4e4c\u514b\u5170\u5728\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u5883\u5185\u7684\u7acb\u8db3\u70b9\u65f6\u8bf4\u3002\u201c\u83ab\u65af\u79d1\u4eba\u5bf9\u8fd9\u79cd\u60f3\u6cd5\u5df2\u7ecf\u4e60\u4ee5\u4e3a\u5e38\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u5c3d\u7ba1\u5982\u6b64\uff0c\u4e4c\u514b\u5170\u5165\u4fb5\u5e93\u5c14\u65af\u514b\u7684\u884c\u52a8\u8fd8\u662f\u5bf9\u666e\u4eac\u7684\u627f\u8bfa\u6784\u6210\u4e86\u6253\u51fb\u3002\u666e\u4eac\u66fe\u627f\u8bfa\uff0c\u8fd9\u573a\u88ab\u4ed6\u79f0\u4e3a\u201c\u7279\u522b\u519b\u4e8b\u884c\u52a8\u201d\u7684\u6218\u4e89\u5c06\u4ec5\u9650\u4e8e\u4e4c\u514b\u5170\u5883\u5185\uff0c\u5bf9\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u666e\u901a\u6c11\u4f17\u751f\u6d3b\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u5fae\u4e4e\u5176\u5fae\u3002\u4e4c\u514b\u5170\u7684\u4e00\u4e9b\u519b\u4e8b\u6307\u6325\u5b98\u957f\u671f\u4ee5\u6765\u90fd\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u8ba9\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u4eba\u611f\u53d7\u5230\u8fd9\u573a\u6218\u4e89\u5e94\u662f\u57fa\u8f85\u6218\u7565\u7684\u4e00\u4e2a\u5173\u952e\u90e8\u5206\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u8fd9\u4f1a\u52a0\u5927\u5bf9\u666e\u4eac\u7684\u538b\u529b\uff0c\u8feb\u4f7f\u4ed6\u7ed3\u675f\u6218\u4e89\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

\u5468\u4e09\uff0c\u4e4c\u514b\u5170\u58eb\u5175\u5728\u4e4c\u514b\u5170\u4e1c\u90e8\u987f\u6d85\u8328\u514b\u5730\u533a\u7684\u524d\u7ebf\u3002\u56fe\u7247\u6765\u6e90\uff1aEvgeniy Maloletka\/AP<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

\u5468\uff0c\u5728\u4e4c\u514b\u5170\u4e1c\u90e8\u91cd\u8981\u7684\u540e\u52e4\u67a2\u7ebd\u6ce2\u514b\u7f57\u592b\u65af\u514b\uff0c\u5e73\u6c11\u88ab\u758f\u6563\u3002\u56fe\u7247\u6765\u6e90\uff1aEvgeniy Maloletka\/AP<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201c\u6211\u4eec\u60f3\u628a\u6218\u4e89\u5f15\u5165\u4ed6\u4eec\u7684\u9886\u571f\u4e0a\uff0c\u201d\u4e4c\u514b\u5170\u7b2c14\u56e2\u67d0\u65e0\u4eba\u673a\u8425\u547c\u53f7\u4e3aCold\u7684\u6307\u6325\u5b98\u79f0\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Cold\u7684\u65e0\u4eba\u673a\u90e8\u961f\u5c5e\u4e8e\u9996\u6279\u8fdb\u5165\u5e93\u5c14\u65af\u514b\u7684\u90e8\u961f\uff0c\u76ee\u524d\u4ed6\u4eec\u6b63\u8eb2\u5728\u82cf\u8d3e\u4ee5\u5317\u4e00\u4e9b\u623f\u5c4b\u7684\u5730\u4e0b\u5ba4\u91cc\uff0c\u5229\u7528\u4ed6\u4eec\u7684\u4fa6\u5bdf\u548c\u653b\u51fb\u578b\u65e0\u4eba\u673a\u534f\u52a9\u4e4c\u519b\u5411\u524d\u63a8\u8fdb\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u4ed6\u8bf4\uff0c\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u6b63\u5728\u8fdb\u884c\u66f4\u52a0\u987d\u5f3a\u7684\u62b5\u6297\u3002\u672c\u5468\u65e9\u4e9b\u65f6\u5019\uff0c\u4fc4\u519b\u5411\u4e4c\u519b\u63a7\u5236\u7684\u4e00\u4e2a\u6751\u5e84\u6d3e\u9063\u4e86\u4e00\u652f80\u4eba\u7ec4\u6210\u7684\u90e8\u961f\uff0c\u5728\u53d1\u52a8\u8fdb\u653b\u524d\u7684\u4e00\u4e2a\u5c0f\u65f6\u5185\uff0c\u5411\u8be5\u5b9a\u5c45\u70b9\u6295\u63b7\u4e8621\u679a\u6ed1\u7fd4\u70b8\u5f39\uff0c\u4e4c\u519b\u597d\u4e0d\u5bb9\u6613\u624d\u51fb\u9000\u4e86\u4fc4\u519b\u7684\u6b64\u6b21\u8fdb\u653b\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201c\u6211\u4eec\u4e5f\u4ed8\u51fa\u4e86\u4ee3\u4ef7\uff0c\u201dCold\u8bf4\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Cold\u6307\u6325\u4e4c\u514b\u5170\u65e0\u4eba\u673a\u8425\u3002\u56fe\u7247\u6765\u6e90\uff1aSvet Jacqueline for WSJ<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Cold\u8bf4\uff0c\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u6d3e\u51fa\u7684\u8fd9\u4e9b\u90e8\u961f\u88c5\u5907\u7cbe\u826f\uff0c\u5176\u4e2d\u4e00\u4e9b\u58eb\u5175\u663e\u7136\u62e5\u6709\u4e30\u5bcc\u7684\u4f5c\u6218\u7ecf\u9a8c\u3002\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u8fd8\u6210\u529f\u5730\u5229\u7528\u81ea\u5df1\u7684\u7535\u5b50\u6218\u7cfb\u7edf\u51fb\u843d\u4e86Cold\u6240\u5728\u90e8\u961f\u7684\u4e00\u4e9b\u65e0\u4eba\u673a\u3002Cold\u4ece\u65e0\u4eba\u673a\u5e26\u56de\u7684\u753b\u9762\u4e2d\u53ef\u4ee5\u770b\u5230\uff0c\u4e00\u4e9b\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u58eb\u5175\u6b63\u6cbf\u7740\u65b0\u7684\u6218\u7ebf\u6316\u6398\u6218\u58d5\u5e76\u5efa\u7acb\u9632\u5fa1\u9635\u5730\uff0c\u663e\u7136\u4ed6\u4eec\u6599\u5230\u8fd9\u5c06\u662f\u4e00\u573a\u6f2b\u957f\u7684\u6218\u6597\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u4e4c\u514b\u5170\u5468\u4e09\u5411\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u591a\u4e2a\u5730\u533a\u6d3e\u51fa\u5927\u91cf\u65e0\u4eba\u673a\uff0c\u4e0e\u6b64\u540c\u65f6\uff0c\u57fa\u8f85\u65b9\u9762\u4e00\u76f4\u5728\u52a0\u5f3a\u5bf9\u673a\u573a\u7684\u653b\u51fb\uff0c\u4ee5\u9632\u6b62\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u5229\u7528\u8fd9\u4e9b\u673a\u573a\u53d1\u5c04\u65e0\u4eba\u673a\u548c\u4e3a\u6218\u673a\u8d77\u98de\u670d\u52a1\u3002\u4e0a\u5468\uff0c\u4e4c\u514b\u5170\u5bf9\u6c83\u7f57\u6d85\u65e5\u3001\u5e93\u5c14\u65af\u514b\u3001\u8428\u74e6\u65af\u5217\u5361\u548c\u9c8d\u91cc\u7d22\u683c\u5217\u5e03\u65af\u514b\u7b49\u5730\u7684\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u519b\u7528\u673a\u573a\u53d1\u52a8\u4e86\u65e0\u4eba\u673a\u88ad\u51fb\uff0c\u4e00\u540d\u5b98\u5458\u79f0\uff0c\u8fd9\u662f\u81ea\u4fc4\u4e4c\u6218\u4e89\u5f00\u59cb\u4ee5\u6765\uff0c\u4e4c\u514b\u5170\u5bf9\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u519b\u7528\u673a\u573a\u53d1\u52a8\u7684\u6700\u5927\u89c4\u6a21\u65e0\u4eba\u673a\u88ad\u51fb\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u4e0e\u5de1\u822a\u5bfc\u5f39\u76f8\u6bd4\uff0c\u4e4c\u514b\u5170\u56fd\u4ea7\u65e0\u4eba\u673a\u66f4\u4fbf\u5b9c\uff0c\u4e5f\u66f4\u5bb9\u6613\u83b7\u5f97\uff0c\u4f7f\u57fa\u8f85\u65b9\u9762\u80fd\u591f\u7ed5\u8fc7\u52a8\u7528\u897f\u65b9\u76df\u53cb\u63d0\u4f9b\u7684\u6b66\u5668\u6df1\u5165\u88ad\u51fb\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u5883\u5185\u6240\u9762\u4e34\u7684\u653f\u6cbb\u9650\u5236\u3002\u4e4c\u514b\u5170\u8fd8\u7528\u81ea\u5df1\u7684\u65e0\u4eba\u673a\u88ad\u51fb\u4e86\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u7684\u4e00\u4e9b\u70bc\u6cb9\u5382\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u5728\u4e0e\u5e93\u5c14\u65af\u514b\u63a5\u58e4\u7684\u4e4c\u514b\u5170\u57ce\u5e02\u82cf\u6885\uff0c\u9053\u8def\u4e24\u65c1\u505c\u6ee1\u4e86\u519b\u7528\u8f66\u8f86\uff0c\u7528\u4e8e\u5411\u5e93\u5c14\u65af\u514b\u8fd0\u9001\u5305\u62ec\u519b\u7528\u98df\u7269\u548c\u71c3\u6599\u5728\u5185\u7684\u8865\u7ed9\u3002\u4e4c\u519b\u8fd8\u5728\u5411\u5e93\u5c14\u65af\u514b\u5730\u533a\u8fd0\u9001\u53d1\u7535\u673a\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u8be5\u5730\u533a\u7684\u57fa\u7840\u8bbe\u65bd\u906d\u5230\u7834\u574f\uff0c\u5f53\u5730\u5df2\u65ad\u7535\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

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\u5f53\u4fc4\u519b\u67b6\u8bbe\u6d6e\u6865\u8bd5\u56fe\u6e21\u8fc7\u8c22\u4f0a\u59c6\u6cb3\u65f6\uff0c\u4e4c\u519b\u6b63\u7528\u70ae\u706b\u6467\u6bc1\u8fd9\u4e9b\u6d6e\u6865\u3002\u4e4c\u514b\u5170\u7b2c44\u70ae\u5175\u65c5\u7684\u4e8c\u7b49\u5175Andriy Brigadir\u8bf4\uff0c\u4fc4\u519b\u7684\u6e21\u6cb3\u884c\u52a8\u5f80\u5f80\u5728\u4e00\u7247\u614c\u4e71\u4e4b\u4e2d\u8fdb\u884c\uff0c\u8fd9\u8ba9\u4ed6\u4eec\u66b4\u9732\u5728\u4e4c\u514b\u5170\u7684\u70ae\u706b\u4e4b\u4e0b\u3002\u7b2c44\u70ae\u5175\u65c5\u4f7f\u7528\u7684\u662f\u897f\u65b9\u63d0\u4f9b\u7684M777\u69b4\u5f39\u70ae\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201c\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u4eba\u73b0\u5728\u6b63\u5306\u5fd9\u8c03\u96c6\u4ed6\u4eec\u80fd\u627e\u5230\u7684\u6240\u6709\u4eba\u5458\uff0c\u201dBrigadir\u8bf4\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u636e\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u56fd\u9632\u90e8\u79f0\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e9b\u4eba\u5458\u73b0\u5728\u5305\u62ec\u6765\u81ea\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u9ed1\u6d77\u8230\u961f(Black Sea fleet)\u7684\u6d77\u519b\u9646\u6218\u961f\u5458\u3002\u8be5\u8230\u961f\u901a\u5e38\u9a7b\u624e\u5728\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u63a7\u5236\u7684\u514b\u91cc\u7c73\u4e9a\u534a\u5c9b\u4ee5\u5357\u5f88\u8fdc\u7684\u5730\u65b9\u3002\u5468\u4e8c\uff0c\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u56fd\u9632\u90e8\u8fd8\u5ba3\u5e03\u7ec4\u5efa\u4e09\u4e2a\u65b0\u7684\u519b\u4e8b\u7f16\u961f\uff0c\u8d1f\u8d23\u4fdd\u536b\u5e93\u5c14\u65af\u514b\u5dde\u548c\u4e34\u8fd1\u7684\u4e24\u4e2a\u5730\u533a\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u4e4c\u514b\u5170\u58eb\u5175\u8bf4\uff0c\u5bf9\u4e8e\u8c22\u4f0a\u59c6\u6cb3\u9644\u8fd1\u8865\u7ed9\u7ebf\u88ab\u5207\u65ad\u7684\u4fc4\u519b\u6765\u8bf4\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e9b\u63aa\u65bd\u4e8e\u4e8b\u65e0\u8865\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201c\u73b0\u5728\u6211\u4eec\u5df2\u70b8\u6bc1\u4e86\u4ed6\u4eec\u7684\u4e09\u5ea7\u6865\u6881\uff0c\u4ed6\u4eec\u8fdf\u65e9\u4f1a\u88ab\u56f0\u6b7b\u5728\u8fd9\u91cc\uff0c\u201d\u7b2c14\u56e2\u67d0\u4fa6\u5bdf\u5206\u961f\u547c\u53f7\u4e3aCroat\u7684\u6307\u6325\u5b98\u8bf4\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

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