{"id":18163,"date":"2024-11-03T12:51:13","date_gmt":"2024-11-03T17:51:13","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/newswz.com\/?p=18163"},"modified":"2026-01-24T13:25:43","modified_gmt":"2026-01-24T18:25:43","slug":"%e3%80%8a%e6%97%b6%e4%bb%a3%e3%80%8b-%e9%94%a1%e8%80%b6%e7%ba%b3%e6%b0%91%e6%84%8f%e8%b0%83%e6%9f%a5%e5%8f%91%e7%8e%b0%ef%bc%8c%e5%93%88%e9%87%8c%e6%96%af%e5%92%8c%e7%89%b9%e6%9c%97%e6%99%ae%e5%9c%a8","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/newswz.com\/?p=18163","title":{"rendered":"\u300a\u65f6\u4ee3\u300b\/\u9521\u8036\u7eb3\u6c11\u610f\u8c03\u67e5\u53d1\u73b0\uff0c\u54c8\u91cc\u65af\u548c\u7279\u6717\u666e\u5728\u6447\u6446\u5dde\u7684\u7ade\u4e89\u975e\u5e38\u6fc0\u70c8"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>\u6587\u7ae0\u6765\u6e90:\u00a0\u7ebd\u7ea6\u65f6\u62a5 \u00a0\u2013 \u65b0\u95fb\u53d6\u81ea\u5404\u5927\u65b0\u95fb\u5a92\u4f53\uff0c\u65b0\u95fb\u5185\u5bb9\u5e76\u4e0d\u4ee3\u8868\u672c\u7f51\u7acb\u573a\uff01<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u5c3d\u7ba1\u540e\u671f\u6295\u7968\u8005\u4f3c\u4e4e\u503e\u5411\u4e8e\u652f\u6301\u5361\u739b\u62c9\u00b7\u54c8\u91cc\u65af\uff0c\u4f46\u5510\u7eb3\u5fb7\u00b7J\u00b7\u7279\u6717\u666e\u5728\u5bbe\u5915\u6cd5\u5c3c\u4e9a\u5dde\u7684\u652f\u6301\u7387\u6709\u6240\u63d0\u9ad8\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large is-resized\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"807\" height=\"1024\" src=\"https:\/\/newswz.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/Screenshot-2024-11-03-at-12.47.29\u202fPM-807x1024.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-18165\" style=\"width:580px;height:auto\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p id=\"interactive-notes\">\u6ce8\uff1a\u672a\u663e\u793a\u8868\u793a\u5df2\u7ecf\u6295\u7968\u7ed9\u7b2c\u4e09\u65b9\u5019\u9009\u4eba\u7684\u53d7\u8bbf\u8005\u6bd4\u4f8b\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p id=\"interactive-source\">\u6839\u636e\u300a\u7ebd\u7ea6\u65f6\u62a5\u300b\/\u9521\u8036\u7eb3\u5b66\u9662\u5bf9\u5185\u534e\u8fbe\u5dde 1,010 \u540d\u9009\u6c11\u3001\u5a01\u65af\u5eb7\u661f\u5dde 1,305 \u540d\u9009\u6c11\u3001\u5317\u5361\u7f57\u6765\u7eb3\u5dde 1,010 \u540d\u9009\u6c11\u3001\u4f50\u6cbb\u4e9a\u5dde 1,004 \u540d\u9009\u6c11\u3001\u5bbe\u5915\u6cd5\u5c3c\u4e9a\u5dde 1,527 \u540d\u9009\u6c11\u3001\u5bc6\u6b47\u6839\u5dde 998 \u540d\u9009\u6c11\u548c\u4e9a\u5229\u6851\u90a3\u5dde 1,025 \u540d\u9009\u6c11\u7684\u6c11\u610f\u8c03\u67e5\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p id=\"interactive-credit\">\u4f5c\u8005\uff1aLily Boyce \u548c June Kim<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u603b\u7edf\u5927\u9009\u4f3c\u4e4e\u6b63\u671d\u7740\u6700\u7ec8\u7ed3\u679c\u51b2\u523a\uff0c<a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/interactive\/2024\/11\/03\/us\/elections\/times-siena-battleground-poll-crosstabs.html\">\u300a\u7ebd\u7ea6\u65f6\u62a5\u300b\u548c\u9521\u8036\u7eb3\u5b66\u9662\u7684\u6700\u65b0\u4e00\u7ec4\u6c11\u610f\u8c03\u67e5<\/a>\u663e\u793a\uff0c\u526f\u603b\u7edf\u5361\u9a6c\u62c9\u00b7\u54c8\u91cc\u65af\u5728\u5317\u5361\u7f57\u6765\u7eb3\u5dde\u548c\u4f50\u6cbb\u4e9a\u5dde\u5c55\u73b0\u51fa\u65b0\u7684\u529b\u91cf\uff0c\u800c\u524d\u603b\u7edf\u5510\u7eb3\u5fb7\u00b7J\u00b7\u7279\u6717\u666e\u5219\u62b9\u5e73\u4e86\u5979\u5728\u5bbe\u5915\u6cd5\u5c3c\u4e9a\u5dde\u7684\u9886\u5148\u4f18\u52bf\uff0c\u5e76\u4fdd\u6301\u4e86\u5728\u4e9a\u5229\u6851\u90a3\u5dde\u7684\u4f18\u52bf\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u51e0\u5341\u5e74\u6765\uff0c\u6c11\u610f\u8c03\u67e5\u663e\u793a\u7f8e\u56fd\u9762\u4e34\u5982\u6b64\u6fc0\u70c8\u7684\u603b\u7edf\u7ade\u9009\uff0c\u65e0\u8bba\u662f\u5728\u9633\u5149\u5730\u5e26\u8fd8\u662f\u94c1\u9508\u5730\u5e26\u3002\u7ade\u4e89\u6fc0\u70c8\u7684\u5f62\u52bf\u610f\u5473\u7740\uff0c\u968f\u7740\u7ade\u9009\u6d3b\u52a8\u8fdb\u5165\u6700\u540e\u9636\u6bb5\uff0c\u7ade\u9009\u4ecd\u5b58\u5728\u5f88\u5927\u4e0d\u786e\u5b9a\u6027\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u6c11\u610f\u8c03\u67e5\u663e\u793a\uff0c\u54c8\u91cc\u65af\u76ee\u524d\u5728\u5185\u534e\u8fbe\u5dde\u3001\u5317\u5361\u7f57\u6765\u7eb3\u5dde\u548c\u5a01\u65af\u5eb7\u661f\u5dde\u7565\u5fae\u9886\u5148\uff0c\u800c\u7279\u6717\u666e\u5728\u4e9a\u5229\u6851\u90a3\u5dde\u9886\u5148\u3002\u6c11\u610f\u8c03\u67e5\u663e\u793a\uff0c\u4ed6\u4eec\u5728\u5bc6\u6b47\u6839\u5dde\u3001\u4e54\u6cbb\u4e9a\u5dde\u548c\u5bbe\u5915\u6cd5\u5c3c\u4e9a\u5dde\u52bf\u5747\u529b\u654c\u3002\u4f46\u8fd9\u4e03\u4e2a\u5dde\u7684\u7ed3\u679c\u90fd\u5728\u62bd\u6837\u8bef\u5dee\u8303\u56f4\u5185\uff0c\u8fd9\u610f\u5473\u7740\u4e24\u4f4d\u5019\u9009\u4eba\u90fd\u6ca1\u6709\u5728\u4efb\u4f55\u4e00\u4e2a\u5dde\u53d6\u5f97\u7edd\u5bf9\u9886\u5148\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>[\u5c3d\u7ba1\u603b\u4f53\u6c11\u610f\u8c03\u67e5\u7ed3\u679c\u4e0e\u4e4b\u524d\u7684\u300a\u65f6\u4ee3\u300b\/\u9521\u8036\u7eb3\u6c11\u610f\u8c03\u67e5\u7ed3\u679c\u57fa\u672c\u6ca1\u6709\u53d8\u5316\uff0c\u4f46\u4e5f\u51fa\u73b0\u4e86\u4e00\u4e9b\u660e\u663e\u7684\u53d8\u5316\uff0c<\/em><a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2024\/11\/03\/upshot\/polls-harris-trump-battlegrounds.html\"><em>\u5185\u7279\u00b7\u79d1\u6069\u5199\u9053\u3002<\/em><\/a><em>&nbsp;]<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u5047\u8bbe\u6c11\u8c03\u7ed3\u679c\u6ca1\u6709\u4e25\u91cd\u4f4e\u4f30\u5176\u4e2d\u4e00\u65b9\u7684\u652f\u6301\u7387\uff0c\u4e24\u4f4d\u5019\u9009\u4eba\u90fd\u6709\u591a\u79cd\u9014\u5f84\u83b7\u5f97\u83b7\u80dc\u6240\u9700\u7684 270 \u5f20\u9009\u4e3e\u4eba\u7968\u3002\u5728\u5982\u6b64\u52bf\u5747\u529b\u654c\u7684\u7ade\u9009\u4e2d\uff0c\u5373\u4f7f\u662f\u4e00\u4e2a\u5c0f\u5c0f\u7684\u7cfb\u7edf\u6027\u6c11\u8c03\u9519\u8bef\u4e5f\u53ef\u80fd\u51b3\u5b9a\u80dc\u8d1f\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u4f46\u6709\u8ff9\u8c61\u8868\u660e\uff0c\u540e\u671f\u51b3\u5b9a\u8005\u6b63\u5728\u8f6c\u5411\u54c8\u91cc\u65af\u5973\u58eb\uff1a\u5728 8% \u8868\u793a\u4ed6\u4eec\u6700\u8fd1\u624d\u51b3\u5b9a\u6295\u7968\u7684\u9009\u6c11\u4e2d\uff0c\u5979\u4ee5 55% \u5bf9 44% \u7684\u4f18\u52bf\u8d62\u5f97\u4e86\u8fd9\u4e00\u7fa4\u4f53\u3002\uff08\u968f\u7740\u9009\u4e3e\u65e5\u7684\u4e34\u8fd1\uff0c11% \u7684\u9009\u6c11\u4ecd\u672a\u51b3\u5b9a\u6216\u53ef\u8bf4\u670d\uff0c\u4f4e\u4e8e\u5927\u7ea6\u4e00\u4e2a\u6708\u524d\u7684 16%\u3002\uff09<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u636e\u4f5b\u7f57\u91cc\u8fbe\u5927\u5b66\u9009\u4e3e\u5b9e\u9a8c\u5ba4\u79f0\uff0c\u6b64\u6b21\u6c11\u610f\u8c03\u67e5\u662f\u5728\u5df2\u6709\u8d85\u8fc7 7000 \u4e07\u7f8e\u56fd\u4eba\u6295\u7968\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\u4e0b\u8fdb\u884c\u7684\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u300a\u7ebd\u7ea6\u65f6\u62a5\u300b\/\u9521\u8036\u7eb3\u6c11\u610f\u8c03\u67e5\u663e\u793a\uff0c\u5728\u4e03\u4e2a\u5dde\u63a5\u53d7\u8c03\u67e5\u7684\u53d7\u8bbf\u8005\u4e2d\uff0c\u7ea6\u6709 40% \u8868\u793a\u5df2\u7ecf\u6295\u7968\u3002\u6c11\u610f\u8c03\u67e5\u53d1\u73b0\uff0c\u54c8\u91cc\u65af\u4ee5 8 \u4e2a\u767e\u5206\u70b9\u7684\u4f18\u52bf\u8d62\u5f97\u4e86\u8fd9\u4e9b\u9009\u6c11\u7684\u652f\u6301\u3002\u7279\u6717\u666e\u5728\u90a3\u4e9b\u8868\u793a\u5f88\u6709\u53ef\u80fd\u6295\u7968\u4f46\u5c1a\u672a\u6295\u7968\u7684\u9009\u6c11\u4e2d\u5360\u6709\u4f18\u52bf\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u7279\u6717\u666e\u5728\u5bbe\u5915\u6cd5\u5c3c\u4e9a\u5dde\u7684\u5f97\u7968\u7387\u4e0d\u65ad\u4e0a\u5347\uff0c\u81ea\u54c8\u91cc\u65af\u53c2\u52a0\u7ade\u9009\u4ee5\u6765\uff0c\u5979\u5728\u300a\u7ebd\u7ea6\u65f6\u62a5\u300b\/\u9521\u8036\u7eb3\u5b66\u9662\u5728\u8be5\u5dde\u7684\u6240\u6709\u6c11\u610f\u8c03\u67e5\u4e2d\u90fd\u9886\u5148 4 \u4e2a\u767e\u5206\u70b9\u3002\u76ee\u524d\uff0c\u4e24\u515a\u52bf\u5747\u529b\u654c\uff0c\u8868\u660e\u8be5\u5dde\u7684\u7ade\u4e89\u65e5\u76ca\u6fc0\u70c8\uff0c\u53cc\u65b9\u7ade\u9009\u56e2\u961f\u7684\u6218\u7565\u5bb6\u90fd\u8ba4\u4e3a<a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2024\/10\/09\/us\/politics\/trump-harris-pennsylvania-battleground.html\">\u8fd9\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u5f71\u54cd\u9009\u4e3e\u7ed3\u679c\u3002<\/a>\u3001\u3001<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"interactive-headline\">\u9508\u5e26\u5404\u5dde\u7684\u6c11\u610f\u8c03\u67e5\u7ed3\u679c\u5982\u4f55<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table><thead><tr><th>\u65b0\u95fb\/\u6c11\u8c03\u673a\u6784<\/th><th>\u5bc6\u6b47\u6839<\/th><th>\u5bbe\u5915\u6cd5\u5c3c\u4e9a\u5dde<\/th><th>\u5a01\u65af\u5eb7\u661f\u5dde<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><th>\u6cf0\u6664\u58eb\u62a5\/\u9521\u8036\u7eb3<br>10\u670825\u65e5\u81f311\u67082\u65e5<\/th><td>\u7279\u6717\u666e+1<\/td><td>\u5e73<\/td><td>\u54c8\u91cc\u65af +3<\/td><\/tr><tr><th><a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/interactive\/2024\/us\/elections\/polls-president.html\">\u6c11\u610f\u8c03\u67e5\u5e73\u5747\u503c<\/a><br>\u622a\u81f311\u67083\u65e5\u51cc\u66685\u70b9<\/th><td>\u54c8\u91cc\u65af &lt;1<\/td><td>\u5e73<\/td><td>\u54c8\u91cc\u65af &lt;1<\/td><\/tr><tr><th>\u963f\u7279\u62c9\u65af\u82f1\u7279\u5c14<br>11 \u6708 1 \u65e5\u81f3 2 \u65e5<\/th><td>\u7279\u6717\u666e+2<\/td><td>\u7279\u6717\u666e+2<\/td><td>\u7279\u6717\u666e+1<\/td><\/tr><tr><th>\u4eca\u65e5\u7f8e\u56fd\/\u8428\u798f\u514b\u5927\u5b66<br>10 \u6708 24 \u65e5\u81f3 27 \u65e5\uff1b10 \u6708 27 \u65e5\u81f3 30 \u65e5\uff1b10 \u6708 20 \u65e5\u81f3 23 \u65e5<\/th><td>\u751a\u81f3<\/td><td>\u5e73<\/td><td>\u7279\u6717\u666e+1<\/td><\/tr><tr><th>\u534e\u76db\u987f\u90ae\u62a5<br>10 \u6708 24 \u65e5\u81f3 28 \u65e5\uff1b10 \u6708 26 \u65e5\u81f3 30 \u65e5<\/th><td>\u54c8\u91cc\u65af +1<\/td><td>\u54c8\u91cc\u65af +1<\/td><td>\u6ca1\u6709\u6c11\u610f\u8c03\u67e5<\/td><\/tr><tr><th>\u5e95\u7279\u5f8b\u81ea\u7531\u65b0\u95fb\u62a5\/EPIC-MRA<br>10 \u6708 24 \u65e5\u81f3 28 \u65e5<\/th><td>\u54c8\u91cc\u65af +3<\/td><td>\u6ca1\u6709\u6c11\u610f\u8c03\u67e5<\/td><td>\u6ca1\u6709\u6c11\u610f\u8c03\u67e5<\/td><\/tr><tr><th>\u6606\u5c3c\u76ae\u4e9a\u514b\u5927\u5b66<br>10 \u6708 17 \u65e5\u81f3 21 \u65e5\uff1b10 \u6708 24 \u65e5\u81f3 28 \u65e5<\/th><td>\u54c8\u91cc\u65af +4<\/td><td>\u7279\u6717\u666e+2<\/td><td>\u751a\u81f3<\/td><\/tr><tr><th>CNN\/SSRS<br>10 \u6708 23 \u65e5\u81f3 28 \u65e5<\/th><td>\u54c8\u91cc\u65af +5<\/td><td>\u5e73<\/td><td>\u54c8\u91cc\u65af +6<\/td><\/tr><tr><th>\u798f\u514b\u65af\u65b0\u95fb\/Beacon &amp; Shaw<br>10 \u6708 24 \u65e5\u81f3 28 \u65e5<\/th><td>\u751a\u81f3<\/td><td>\u7279\u6717\u666e+1<\/td><td>\u6ca1\u6709\u6c11\u610f\u8c03\u67e5<\/td><\/tr><tr><th>\u8499\u8305\u65af\u5927\u5b66<br>10 \u6708 24 \u65e5\u81f3 28 \u65e5<\/th><td>\u6ca1\u6709\u6c11\u610f\u8c03\u67e5<\/td><td>\u7279\u6717\u666e+1<\/td><td>\u6ca1\u6709\u6c11\u610f\u8c03\u67e5<\/td><\/tr><tr><th>\u8428\u65af\u594e\u54c8\u7eb3\u6c11\u610f\u8c03\u67e5\u4e0e\u7814\u7a76<br>10 \u6708 23 \u65e5\u81f3 27 \u65e5\uff1b10 \u6708 18 \u65e5\u81f3 22 \u65e5<\/th><td>\u54c8\u91cc\u65af +5<\/td><td>\u5e73<\/td><td>\u6ca1\u6709\u6c11\u610f\u8c03\u67e5<\/td><\/tr><tr><th>\u9a6c\u51ef\u7279\u6cd5\u5b66\u9662<br>10 \u6708 16 \u65e5\u81f3 24 \u65e5<\/th><td>\u6ca1\u6709\u6c11\u610f\u8c03\u67e5<\/td><td>\u6ca1\u6709\u6c11\u610f\u8c03\u67e5<\/td><td>\u54c8\u91cc\u65af +1<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">\u300a\u7ebd\u7ea6\u65f6\u62a5\u300b\/\u9521\u8036\u7eb3\u6c11\u610f\u8c03\u67e5\u53d1\u73b0\uff0c\u54c8\u91cc\u65af\u548c\u7279\u6717\u666e\u5728\u6447\u6446\u5dde\u7684\u7ade\u4e89\u975e\u5e38\u6fc0\u70c8 &#8211; \u7ebd\u7ea6\u65f6\u62a5<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>\u6ce8\uff1a\u5dee\u8ddd\u662f\u4f7f\u7528\u672a\u56db\u820d\u4e94\u5165\u7684\u6295\u7968\u4efd\u989d\uff08\u5982\u6709\uff09\u8ba1\u7b97\u5f97\u51fa\u7684\u3002\u300a\u7ebd\u7ea6\u65f6\u62a5\u300b\u7684\u6c11\u610f\u8c03\u67e5\u5e73\u5747\u503c\u622a\u81f3 11 \u6708 3 \u65e5\u4e1c\u90e8\u65f6\u95f4\u4e0a\u5348 5 \u70b9\u3002\u4f5c\u8005\uff1aLily Boyce \u548c June Kim<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u5a01\u5ec9\u00b7\u4f26\u5f17\u6d1b (William Renfro) \u662f\u4e00\u540d\u6765\u81ea\u62c9\u65af\u7ef4\u52a0\u65af\u7684\u7535\u529b\u4e13\u4e1a\u5b66\u751f\uff0c\u76ee\u524d\u5728\u505a\u517c\u804c\u5496\u5561\u5e08\uff0c\u4ed6\u8bf4\u4ed6\u8ba4\u4e3a\u81ea\u5df1\u662f\u81ea\u7531\u4e3b\u4e49\u8005\u3002\u201c\u5728\u8d22\u653f\u65b9\u9762\uff0c\u6211\u6bd4\u8f83\u4fdd\u5b88\uff0c\u201d\u4ed6\u8bf4\u3002\u201c\u5728\u793e\u4f1a\u65b9\u9762\uff0c\u6211\u6bd4\u8f83\u81ea\u7531\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u4ed6\u8bf4\uff0c\u4ed6\u4e4b\u6240\u4ee5\u51b3\u5b9a\u652f\u6301\u54c8\u91cc\u65af\uff0c\u662f\u56e0\u4e3a\u7279\u6717\u666e\u6563\u5e03\u5173\u4e8e\u4fc4\u4ea5\u4fc4\u5dde\u6d77\u5730\u79fb\u6c11\u5403\u732b\u72d7\u7684\u8c0e\u8a00\u3001\u53d1\u8868\u717d\u52a8\u6027\u8a00\u8bba\uff0c\u5e76\u4e0e<a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2024\/09\/13\/us\/politics\/who-is-laura-loomer.html\">\u6781\u53f3\u7ffc\u6d3b\u52a8\u5bb6\u52b3\u62c9\u00b7\u9c81\u9ed8\u4e00\u8d77\u51fa\u73b0\uff0c\u8fd9\u8ba9\u4ed6\u611f\u5230\u4e0d\u5b89\u3002<\/a>\u00a0\u201c\u4f46\u5f53\u4f60\u542c\u5230\u52b3\u62c9\u00b7\u9c81\u9ed8\u7684\u4e8b\u60c5\uff0c\u7136\u540e\u53c8\u542c\u5230\u5173\u4e8e\u4fc4\u4ea5\u4fc4\u5dde\u6d77\u5730\u79fb\u6c11\u7684\u4e8b\u60c5\u65f6\uff0c\u201d\u4ed6\u8bf4\uff0c\u201c\u4f60\u4f1a\u5f88\u60f3\u95ee\u2018\u6211\u4e3a\u4ec0\u4e48\u8981\u8ba9\u8fd9\u4e2a\u4eba\u9886\u5bfc\u6211\u6240\u5c45\u4f4f\u7684\u56fd\u5bb6\uff1f\u2019\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u5317\u5361\u7f57\u6765\u7eb3\u5dde\u7684\u63d0\u524d\u6295\u7968\u7387\u7279\u522b\u9ad8\uff0c\u8d85\u8fc7\u4e00\u534a\u7684\u9009\u6c11\u8868\u793a\u4ed6\u4eec\u5df2\u7ecf\u6295\u4e86\u7968\u3002\u54c8\u91cc\u65af\u5728\u8be5\u5dde\u7684\u63d0\u524d\u6295\u7968\u7387\u9886\u5148 8 \u4e2a\u767e\u5206\u70b9\uff0c\u8fd9\u6216\u8bb8\u662f\u5979\u5728\u8be5\u5dde\u6c11\u610f\u8c03\u67e5\u4e2d\u9886\u5148 3 \u4e2a\u767e\u5206\u70b9\u7684\u539f\u56e0\u4e4b\u4e00\u3002\u5c3d\u7ba1\u6700\u8fd1\u98d3\u98ce\u6d77\u4f26\u7ed9\u5317\u5361\u7f57\u6765\u7eb3\u5dde\u5e26\u6765\u4e86\u5de8\u5927\u7834\u574f\uff0c\u4f46\u8d85\u8fc7\u4e5d\u6210\u7684\u5317\u5361\u7f57\u6765\u7eb3\u5dde\u9009\u6c11\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u8fd9\u573a\u98ce\u66b4\u53ca\u5176\u540e\u679c\u5bf9\u4ed6\u4eec\u7684\u6295\u7968\u80fd\u529b\u6ca1\u6709\u4efb\u4f55\u5f71\u54cd\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u6c11\u8c03\u663e\u793a\u7279\u6717\u666e\u8d62\u5f97\u5df2\u6295\u7968\u9009\u6c11\u652f\u6301\u7387\u7684\u552f\u4e00\u5dde\u662f\u4e9a\u5229\u6851\u90a3\u5dde\u3002\u8be5\u5dde 46% \u7684\u9009\u6c11\u8868\u793a\u5df2\u6295\u7968\uff0c\u7279\u6717\u666e\u4ee5 50% \u5bf9 46% \u7684\u652f\u6301\u7387\u8d62\u5f97\u4e86\u8be5\u5dde\u9009\u6c11\u7684\u652f\u6301\u7387\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u6c11\u610f\u8c03\u67e5\u8fd8\u663e\u793a\uff0c\u5728\u7ade\u9009\u7684\u6700\u540e\u9636\u6bb5\uff0c\u9009\u6c11\u4f18\u5148\u8003\u8651\u7684\u95ee\u9898\u53d1\u751f\u4e86\u53d8\u5316\u3002\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4ecd\u7136\u662f\u4ed6\u4eec\u6700\u5173\u5fc3\u7684\u95ee\u9898\uff0c\u4f46\u5728\u5a01\u65af\u5eb7\u661f\u5dde\u7b49\u54c8\u91cc\u65af\u4e00\u76f4\u5360\u4f18\u52bf\u7684\u5dde\uff0c\u5815\u80ce\u95ee\u9898\u73b0\u5728\u51e0\u4e4e\u4e0e\u7ecf\u6d4e\u95ee\u9898\u5e76\u9a7e\u9f50\u9a71\uff0c\u6210\u4e3a\u9009\u6c11\u6700\u91cd\u8981\u7684\u95ee\u9898\u3002\u800c\u5728\u7279\u6717\u666e\u9886\u5148\u7684\u4e9a\u5229\u6851\u90a3\u5dde\uff0c\u79fb\u6c11\u95ee\u9898\u4e5f\u7ee7\u7eed\u6210\u4e3a\u5f71\u54cd\u9009\u6c11\u9009\u62e9\u7684\u5173\u952e\u95ee\u9898\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"interactive-headline\">\u9633\u5149\u5730\u5e26\u5404\u5dde\u6c11\u610f\u8c03\u67e5\u7ed3\u679c\u5bf9\u6bd4<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table><thead><tr><th>\u65b0\u95fb\/\u6c11\u8c03\u673a\u6784<\/th><th>\u4e9a\u5229\u6851\u90a3\u5dde<\/th><th>\u5185\u534e\u8fbe\u5dde<\/th><th>\u4e54\u6cbb\u4e9a\u5dde<\/th><th>\u5317\u5361\u7f57\u6765\u7eb3<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><th>\u6cf0\u6664\u58eb\u62a5\/\u9521\u8036\u7eb3<br>10\u670825\u65e5\u81f311\u67082\u65e5<\/th><td>\u7279\u6717\u666e+4<\/td><td>\u54c8\u91cc\u65af +3<\/td><td>\u54c8\u91cc\u65af +1<\/td><td>\u54c8\u91cc\u65af +3<\/td><\/tr><tr><th><a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/interactive\/2024\/us\/elections\/polls-president.html\">\u6c11\u610f\u8c03\u67e5\u5e73\u5747\u503c<\/a><br>\u622a\u81f311\u67083\u65e5\u51cc\u66685\u70b9<\/th><td>\u7279\u6717\u666e+3<\/td><td>\u7279\u6717\u666e &lt;1<\/td><td>\u7279\u6717\u666e+1<\/td><td>\u7279\u6717\u666e &lt;1<\/td><\/tr><tr><th>\u963f\u7279\u62c9\u65af\u82f1\u7279\u5c14<br>11 \u6708 1 \u65e5\u81f3 2 \u65e5<\/th><td>\u7279\u6717\u666e +7<\/td><td>\u7279\u6717\u666e +6<\/td><td>\u7279\u6717\u666e+3<\/td><td>\u7279\u6717\u666e+3<\/td><\/tr><tr><th>RealClearWorld\/\u7231\u9ed8\u751f\u5b66\u9662<br>10 \u6708 29 \u65e5\u81f3 31 \u65e5<\/th><td>\u6ca1\u6709\u6c11\u610f\u8c03\u67e5<\/td><td>\u5e73<\/td><td>\u6ca1\u6709\u6c11\u610f\u8c03\u67e5<\/td><td>\u6ca1\u6709\u6c11\u610f\u8c03\u67e5<\/td><\/tr><tr><th>\u8428\u65af\u594e\u54c8\u7eb3\u6c11\u610f\u8c03\u67e5\u4e0e\u7814\u7a76<br>10 \u6708 28 \u65e5\u81f3 31 \u65e5<\/th><td>\u6ca1\u6709\u6c11\u610f\u8c03\u67e5<\/td><td>\u7279\u6717\u666e +6<\/td><td>\u6ca1\u6709\u6c11\u610f\u8c03\u67e5<\/td><td>\u6ca1\u6709\u6c11\u610f\u8c03\u67e5<\/td><\/tr><tr><th>\u6570\u636e\u8f68\u9053<br>10 \u6708 26 \u65e5\u81f3 28 \u65e5<\/th><td>\u7279\u6717\u666e +8<\/td><td>\u6ca1\u6709\u6c11\u610f\u8c03\u67e5<\/td><td>\u6ca1\u6709\u6c11\u610f\u8c03\u67e5<\/td><td>\u6ca1\u6709\u6c11\u610f\u8c03\u67e5<\/td><\/tr><tr><th>\u798f\u514b\u65af\u65b0\u95fb\/Beacon &amp; Shaw<br>10 \u6708 24 \u65e5\u81f3 28 \u65e5<\/th><td>\u6ca1\u6709\u6c11\u610f\u8c03\u67e5<\/td><td>\u6ca1\u6709\u6c11\u610f\u8c03\u67e5<\/td><td>\u6ca1\u6709\u6c11\u610f\u8c03\u67e5<\/td><td>\u7279\u6717\u666e+1<\/td><\/tr><tr><th>CNN\/SSRS<br>10 \u6708 21 \u65e5\u81f3 26 \u65e5\uff1b10 \u6708 23 \u65e5\u81f3 28 \u65e5<\/th><td>\u54c8\u91cc\u65af +1<\/td><td>\u7279\u6717\u666e+1<\/td><td>\u7279\u6717\u666e+1<\/td><td>\u54c8\u91cc\u65af +1<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">\u300a\u7ebd\u7ea6\u65f6\u62a5\u300b\/\u9521\u8036\u7eb3\u6c11\u610f\u8c03\u67e5\u53d1\u73b0\uff0c\u54c8\u91cc\u65af\u548c\u7279\u6717\u666e\u5728\u6447\u6446\u5dde\u7684\u7ade\u4e89\u975e\u5e38\u6fc0\u70c8 &#8211; \u7ebd\u7ea6\u65f6\u62a5<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>\u6ce8\uff1a\u5dee\u8ddd\u662f\u4f7f\u7528\u672a\u56db\u820d\u4e94\u5165\u7684\u6295\u7968\u4efd\u989d\uff08\u5982\u6709\uff09\u8ba1\u7b97\u5f97\u51fa\u7684\u3002\u300a\u7ebd\u7ea6\u65f6\u62a5\u300b\u7684\u6c11\u610f\u8c03\u67e5\u5e73\u5747\u503c\u622a\u81f3 11 \u6708 3 \u65e5\u4e1c\u90e8\u65f6\u95f4\u4e0a\u5348 5 \u70b9\u3002\u4f5c\u8005\uff1aLily Boyce \u548c June Kim<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>31 \u5c81\u7684\u8fbe\u79d1\u5854\u00b7\u5e15\u91cc\u4ec0 (Dakota Parrish) \u5728\u4e00\u5bb6\u4fdd\u9669\u516c\u53f8\u5de5\u4f5c\uff0c\u4ed6\u8bf4\u4ed6\u652f\u6301\u7279\u6717\u666e\u662f\u56e0\u4e3a\u4ed6\u8ba4\u4e3a\u7279\u6717\u666e\u62c5\u4efb\u603b\u7edf\u65f6\u7f8e\u56fd\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u66f4\u52a0\u7e41\u8363\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201c\u8fd9\u8d77\u6848\u4ef6\u4e0e\u5510\u7eb3\u5fb7\u00b7\u7279\u6717\u666e\u4e2a\u4eba\u5173\u7cfb\u4e0d\u5927\uff0c\u201d\u5c45\u4f4f\u5728\u4e9a\u5229\u6851\u90a3\u5dde\u745f\u666e\u8d56\u65af\u7684\u5e15\u91cc\u65af\u8bf4\u3002\u201c\u5728\u73b0\u884c\u653f\u7b56\u4e0b\uff0c\u4eba\u4eec\u53ef\u4ee5\u8d1f\u62c5\u5f97\u8d77\u66f4\u591a\u4e1c\u897f\uff0c\u8fc7\u4e0a\u66f4\u5e78\u798f\u7684\u751f\u6d3b\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u8c03\u67e5\u663e\u793a\uff0c\u7279\u6717\u666e\u7ee7\u7eed\u4fdd\u4f4f\u4e86\u8fc7\u53bb\u4e24\u6b21\u603b\u7edf\u7ade\u9009\u4e2d\u652f\u6301\u4ed6\u7684\u8054\u76df\u6838\u5fc3\u2014\u2014\u6ca1\u6709\u4e0a\u8fc7\u5927\u5b66\u7684\u767d\u4eba\u9009\u6c11\u548c\u7537\u6027\u2014\u2014\u540c\u65f6\u6269\u5927\u4e86\u4ed6\u5728\u5e74\u8f7b\u3001\u975e\u767d\u4eba\u548c\u65b0\u9009\u6c11\u4e2d\u7684\u652f\u6301\u7387\u3002\u4ed6\u5728\u4e9a\u5229\u6851\u90a3\u5dde\u548c\u5bc6\u6b47\u6839\u5dde\u7684\u5f97\u7968\u7387\u8d85\u8fc7\u4e86 2020 \u5e74\uff0c\u800c\u56db\u5e74\u524d\u4ed6\u5e76\u6ca1\u6709\u8d62\u5f97\u8fd9\u4e24\u4e2a\u5dde\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u54c8\u91cc\u65af\u5728\u5e74\u8f7b\u9009\u6c11\u3001\u9ed1\u4eba\u9009\u6c11\uff08\u5c24\u5176\u662f\u9ed1\u4eba\u5973\u6027\uff09\u548c\u62c9\u4e01\u88d4\u9009\u6c11\u4e2d\u7684\u8868\u73b0\u4e0d\u5982\u62dc\u767b\u603b\u7edf 2020 \u5e74\u7684\u8868\u73b0\u3002\u4f46\u81ea\u62dc\u767b 7 \u6708\u9000\u51fa\u7ade\u9009\u4ee5\u6765\uff0c\u54c8\u91cc\u65af\u5728\u8fd9\u4e9b\u7fa4\u4f53\u4e2d\u7684\u652f\u6301\u7387\u6709\u6240\u63d0\u9ad8\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u5728\u6240\u6709\u4e03\u4e2a\u5dde\u4e2d\uff0c\u6027\u522b\u5dee\u8ddd\u4ecd\u7136\u5f88\u5927\uff0c\u54c8\u91cc\u65af\u6700\u53d7\u5973\u6027\u9752\u7750\uff0c\u800c\u7279\u6717\u666e\u5219\u53d7\u5230\u7537\u6027\u9752\u7750\u3002\u5bf9\u4e8e\u5973\u6027\u548c\u5e74\u8f7b\u9009\u6c11\u6765\u8bf4\uff0c\u5815\u80ce\u73b0\u5728\u5df2\u8d85\u8fc7\u7ecf\u6d4e\uff0c\u6210\u4e3a\u63a8\u52a8\u6295\u7968\u7684\u6700\u91cd\u8981\u95ee\u9898\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"link-2d139dcd\">\u53c2\u8bae\u9662\u4e4b\u4e89<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>\u968f\u7740\u603b\u7edf\u5927\u9009\u7684\u8fdb\u884c\uff0c\u53c2\u8bae\u9662\u63a7\u5236\u6743\u7684\u4e89\u593a\u4e5f\u6108\u6f14\u6108\u70c8\u3002\u5728\u5317\u90e8\u4e09\u4e2a\u201c\u84dd\u5899\u201d\u5dde\uff0c\u6c11\u4e3b\u515a\u7684\u4f18\u52bf\u5728\u7ade\u9009\u7684\u6700\u540e\u51e0\u5929\u660e\u663e\u51cf\u5f31\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u5728\u5bbe\u5915\u6cd5\u5c3c\u4e9a\u5dde\uff0c\u6c11\u4e3b\u515a\u53c2\u8bae\u5458\u9c8d\u52c3\u00b7\u51ef\u897f (Bob Casey) \u9886\u5148 5 \u4e2a\u767e\u5206\u70b9\uff0c\u6bd4 9 \u6708\u4efd\u7684 9 \u4e2a\u767e\u5206\u70b9\u6709\u6240\u4e0b\u964d\u3002\u5728\u5a01\u65af\u5eb7\u661f\u5dde\uff0c\u6c11\u4e3b\u515a\u53c2\u8bae\u5458\u5854\u7c73\u00b7\u9c8d\u5fb7\u6e29 (Tammy Baldwin) \u9886\u5148 4 \u4e2a\u767e\u5206\u70b9\uff0c\u6bd4 9 \u6708\u4efd\u7684 8 \u4e2a\u767e\u5206\u70b9\u6709\u6240\u4e0b\u964d\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u5728\u5bc6\u6b47\u6839\u5dde\u7a7a\u7f3a\u5e2d\u4f4d\u7684\u4e89\u593a\u4e2d\uff0c\u6c11\u4e3b\u515a\u4f17\u8bae\u5458\u827e\u4e3d\u838e\u00b7\u65af\u6d1b\u7279\u91d1 (Elissa Slotkin) \u548c\u5979\u7684\u5171\u548c\u515a\u5bf9\u624b\u3001\u524d\u4f17\u8bae\u5458\u8fc8\u514b\u00b7\u7f57\u6770\u65af (Mike Rogers) \u52bf\u5747\u529b\u654c\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u6c11\u4e3b\u515a\u5019\u9009\u4eba\u5728\u9633\u5149\u5730\u5e26\u7ade\u9009\u4e2d\u5360\u636e\u66f4\u5f3a\u4f18\u52bf\uff0c\u5176\u4e2d\uff0c\u4f17\u8bae\u5458\u9c81\u672c\u00b7\u52a0\u5217\u6208\u5728\u4e9a\u5229\u6851\u90a3\u5dde\u9886\u5148\u5361\u91cc\u6e56 5 \u4e2a\u767e\u5206\u70b9\uff0c\u53c2\u8bae\u5458\u6770\u57fa\u00b7\u7f57\u68ee\u5728\u5185\u534e\u8fbe\u5dde\u9886\u5148\u5171\u548c\u515a\u6311\u6218\u8005\u8428\u59c6\u00b7\u5e03\u6717 9 \u4e2a\u767e\u5206\u70b9\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u6240\u6709\u6c11\u4e3b\u515a\u53c2\u8bae\u9662\u5019\u9009\u4eba\u7684\u8868\u73b0\u90fd\u4f18\u4e8e\u54c8\u91cc\u65af\uff0c\u8fd9\u8868\u660e\uff0c\u4e00\u7fa4\u6f5c\u5728\u7684\u5173\u952e\u9009\u6c11\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u5206\u7968\uff0c\u540c\u65f6\u652f\u6301\u7279\u6717\u666e\u548c\u4ed6\u4eec\u6240\u5728\u5dde\u7684\u6c11\u4e3b\u515a\u53c2\u8bae\u9662\u5019\u9009\u4eba\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u6765\u81ea\u51e4\u51f0\u57ce\u7684\u5171\u548c\u515a\u4eba\u4e54\u6cbb\u4e9a\u00b7\u7c73\u53e4\u62c9\u00b7\u51af\u00b7\u83f2\u5c14\u65af\u6ed5\u96f7\u5e0c\u7279 (Georgia Micola von F\u00fcrstenrecht) \u8868\u793a\uff0c\u5979\u4e4b\u6240\u4ee5\u6295\u7968\u7ed9\u7279\u6717\u666e\u548c\u52a0\u5217\u6208\uff0c\u662f\u56e0\u4e3a\u5979\u4e0d\u559c\u6b22\u5171\u548c\u515a\u5019\u9009\u4eba\u83b1\u514b\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201c\u8fd9\u4e2a\u5973\u4eba\u75af\u4e86\u3002\u9c81\u672c\u00b7\u52a0\u5217\u6208\u66fe\u662f\u4e00\u540d\u7f8e\u56fd\u6d77\u519b\u9646\u6218\u961f\u5458\uff0c\u6211\u6765\u81ea\u519b\u4eba\u5bb6\u5ead\uff0c\u201d60 \u5c81\u7684\u7c73\u53e4\u62c9\u00b7\u51af\u00b7\u5f17\u65af\u6ed5\u96f7\u5e0c\u7279\u592b\u4eba\u8bf4\u3002\u201c\u4ed6\u53ef\u80fd\u4e5f\u4e0d\u662f\u4e8b\u4e8b\u90fd\u5bf9\uff0c\u4f46\u6211\u613f\u610f\u628a\u6211\u7684\u751f\u547d\u6258\u4ed8\u7ed9\u4ed6\uff0c\u800c\u4e0d\u662f\u5979\u3002\u5979\u6839\u672c\u4e0d\u5728\u4e4e\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u6c11\u4e3b\u515a\u76ee\u524d\u5360\u6709\u53c2\u8bae\u9662 51 \u4e2a\u5e2d\u4f4d\u7684\u591a\u6570\u5e2d\u4f4d\uff0c\u4f46\u5728\u4e0e\u6c11\u4e3b\u515a\u4e3e\u884c\u515a\u56e2\u4f1a\u8bae\u7684\u65e0\u515a\u6d3e\u53c2\u8bae\u5458\u4e54\u00b7\u66fc\u94a6\u4e09\u4e16 (Joe Manchin III) \u9000\u4f11\u540e\uff0c\u5171\u548c\u515a\u5c06\u5728\u897f\u5f17\u5409\u5c3c\u4e9a\u5dde\u83b7\u5f97\u4e00\u4e2a\u5e2d\u4f4d\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u6c11\u4e3b\u515a\u82e5\u60f3\u4fdd\u4f4f\u53c2\u8bae\u9662\u7684\u63a7\u5236\u6743\uff0c\u5c31\u5fc5\u987b\u5728\u6240\u6709\u4e94\u573a\u7ade\u9009\u4e2d\u4fdd\u4f4f\u81ea\u5df1\u7684\u5e2d\u4f4d\uff0c\u540c\u65f6\u8fd8\u8981\u51fb\u9000\u4fc4\u4ea5\u4fc4\u5dde\u548c\u8499\u5927\u62ff\u5dde\u7684\u5171\u548c\u515a\u6311\u6218\u8005\u3002\u6839\u636e<a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/interactive\/2024\/us\/elections\/polls-senate-montana.html\">\u300a\u7ebd\u7ea6\u65f6\u62a5\u300b\u7684\u6c11\u610f\u8c03\u67e5\u5e73\u5747\u503c<\/a>\uff0c\u73b0\u4efb\u6c11\u4e3b\u515a\u53c2\u8bae\u5458\u4e54\u6069\u00b7\u6cf0\u65af\u7279\u5728\u8499\u5927\u62ff\u5dde\u843d\u540e\u3002<a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2024\/10\/28\/us\/politics\/nebraska-texas-senate-races.html\">\u6700\u8fd1\u7684\u6c11\u610f\u8c03\u67e5<\/a>\u663e\u793a\uff0c\u6c11\u4e3b\u515a\u53ef\u80fd\u6709\u673a\u4f1a\u51fb\u8d25\u5fb7\u514b\u8428\u65af\u5dde\u5171\u548c\u515a\u53c2\u8bae\u5458\u6cf0\u5fb7\u00b7\u514b\u9c81\u5179\uff0c\u5c3d\u7ba1\u4ed6\u4eec\u7684\u5019\u9009\u4eba\u79d1\u6797\u00b7\u5965\u5c14\u96f7\u5fb7\u4f17\u8bae\u5458\u5728\u7ade\u9009\u4e2d\u4ecd\u7136\u80dc\u7b97\u4e0d\u5927\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u5728\u5317\u5361\u7f57\u6765\u7eb3\u5dde\uff0c\u6c11\u4e3b\u515a\u5dde\u957f\u5019\u9009\u4eba\u4e54\u4ec0\u00b7\u65af\u5766 (Josh Stein) \u4ee5 17 \u4e2a\u767e\u5206\u70b9\u7684\u4f18\u52bf\u9886\u5148\u4e8e\u4ed6\u7684\u5bf9\u624b\u3001\u66fe<a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2024\/10\/22\/us\/how-a-knack-for-provocation-fueled-mark-robinsons-rise.html\">\u53d1\u8868\u8fc7\u653b\u51fb\u6027\u8a00\u8bba\u7684<\/a>\u5171\u548c\u515a\u526f\u5dde\u957f\u9a6c\u514b\u00b7\u7f57\u5bbe\u900a (Mark Robinson) \u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"link-35cbecdd\">\u5815\u80ce\u6743\u88ab\u5217\u5165\u9009\u7968<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>\u5728\u4e9a\u5229\u6851\u90a3\u5dde\u548c\u5185\u534e\u8fbe\u5dde\uff0c\u5927\u591a\u6570\u7537\u6027\u548c\u5973\u6027\u4e5f\u652f\u6301\u5c06\u5815\u80ce\u6743\u7eb3\u5165\u5dde\u5baa\u6cd5\u7684\u4fee\u6b63\u6848\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u8fd9\u9879\u63aa\u65bd\u5728\u5185\u534e\u8fbe\u5dde\u83b7\u5f97\u4e86\u66f4\u591a\u652f\u6301\uff0c64% \u7684\u9009\u6c11\u8868\u793a\u652f\u6301\u4fee\u6539\u672c\u5dde\u5baa\u6cd5\u3002\u5728\u4e9a\u5229\u6851\u90a3\u5dde\uff0c55% \u7684\u9009\u6c11\u652f\u6301\u7c7b\u4f3c\u7684\u4fee\u6b63\u6848\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u81ea\u6700\u9ad8\u6cd5\u9662\u63a8\u7ffb\u7f57\u4f0a\u8bc9\u97e6\u5fb7\u6848\uff08\u8be5\u6848\u786e\u7acb\u4e86\u5815\u80ce\u7684\u5baa\u6cd5\u6743\u5229\uff09\u4ee5\u6765\uff0c\u5728\u9009\u7968\u4e0a\u51fa\u73b0\u5815\u80ce\u95ee\u9898\u7684\u6240\u6709\u4e03\u4e2a\u5dde\uff0c\u9009\u6c11\u90fd\u652f\u6301\u5815\u80ce\u6743\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u867d\u7136\u582a\u8428\u65af\u5dde\u548c\u80af\u5854\u57fa\u5dde\u7b49\u8f83\u4e3a\u4fdd\u5b88\u7684\u5dde\u7684\u9009\u6c11\u652f\u6301\u5815\u80ce\u6743\uff0c\u4f46<a href=\"https:\/\/ballotpedia.org\/History_of_abortion_ballot_measures\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" target=\"_blank\">\u8fd9\u4e9b\u5dde\u5bf9\u8fd9\u4e9b\u63aa\u65bd\u7684\u652f\u6301\u7387\u4ece\u672a\u8d85\u8fc7 60%<\/a>\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>46 \u5c81\u7684\u7433\u8fbe\u00b7\u53e4\u5409\u4e9a (Linda Guggia) 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Shao)\u5728\u7ebd\u7ea6\u5bf9\u672c\u6587\u4ea6\u6709\u8d21\u732e\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>\uff08\u6b64\u6587\u7531\u672c\u7ad9\u72ec\u5bb6\u7f16\u8bd1\uff09<\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u6587\u7ae0\u6765\u6e90:\u00a0\u7ebd\u7ea6\u65f6\u62a5 \u00a0\u2013 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