{"id":18464,"date":"2024-11-11T23:05:01","date_gmt":"2024-11-12T04:05:01","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/newswz.com\/?p=18464"},"modified":"2024-11-11T23:09:08","modified_gmt":"2024-11-12T04:09:08","slug":"%e5%b7%b4%e8%8f%b2%e7%89%b9%e6%89%8b%e6%8c%81%e5%b7%a8%e8%b5%84%e8%a7%82%e6%9c%9b%ef%bc%8c%e5%af%b9%e6%99%ae%e9%80%9a%e6%8a%95%e8%b5%84%e8%80%85%e6%9c%89%e4%bd%95%e5%90%af%e7%a4%ba%ef%bc%9f","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/newswz.com\/?p=18464","title":{"rendered":"\u5df4\u83f2\u7279\u624b\u6301\u5de8\u8d44\u89c2\u671b\uff0c\u5bf9\u666e\u901a\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u6709\u4f55\u542f\u793a\uff1f"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

\u4f2f\u514b\u5e0c\u5c14\u54c8\u6492\u97e6\u516d\u5e74\u6765\u9996\u6b21\u505c\u6b62\u589e\u6301\u5176\u6700\u4e86\u89e3\u7684\u80a1\u7968\uff0c\u4e5f\u5c31\u662f\u8be5\u516c\u53f8\u81ea\u5bb6\u80a1\u7968\u3002\u56fe\u7247\u6765\u6e90\uff1aHouston Cofield\/Bloomberg<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u6587\u7ae0\u6765\u6e90:\u00a0\u534e\u5c14\u8857\u65e5\u62a5 \u2013 \u65b0\u95fb\u53d6\u81ea\u5404\u5927\u65b0\u95fb\u5a92\u4f53\uff0c\u65b0\u95fb\u5185\u5bb9\u5e76\u4e0d\u4ee3\u8868\u672c\u7f51\u7acb\u573a\uff01<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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\u6c83\u4f26\u00b7\u5df4\u83f2\u7279(Warren Buffett)\u66fe\u6253\u8da3\u8bf4\u81ea\u5df1\u6700\u559c\u6b22\u7684\u80a1\u7968\u6301\u6709\u671f\u9650\u662f\u201c\u6c38\u8fdc\u201d\uff0c\u73b0\u5728\u4ed6\u7ee7\u7eed\u5c06\u5927\u91cf\u8d44\u91d1\u6295\u5165\u7f8e\u56fd\u516c\u53f8\uff0c\u4f46\u4ed6\u76ee\u524d\u4ece\u80a1\u5e02\u64a4\u51fa\u7684\u8d44\u91d1\u4e5f\u524d\u6240\u672a\u6709\u5f97\u591a\u2014\u2014\u9ad8\u8fbe3,250\u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u73b0\u91d1\u548c\u73b0\u91d1\u7b49\u4ef7\u7269\uff0c\u5176\u4e2d\u5927\u90e8\u5206\u662f\u77ed\u671f\u7f8e\u56fd\u56fd\u503a\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u8fd9\u7b14\u8d44\u91d1\u89c4\u6a21\u6709\u591a\u4e48\u5e9e\u5927\u5462\uff1f\u9664\u4e86\u5927\u7ea625\u5bb6\u5e02\u503c\u6700\u9ad8\u7684\u7f8e\u56fd\u4e0a\u5e02\u516c\u53f8\u4e4b\u5916\uff0c\u5df4\u83f2\u7279\u65d7\u4e0b\u7684\u4f2f\u514b\u5e0c\u5c14\u54c8\u6492\u97e6(Berkshire Hathaway)\u53ef\u4ee5\u7528\u8fd9\u7b14\u94b1\u6536\u8d2d\u5176\u4ed6\u4efb\u4f55\u4e00\u5bb6\u516c\u53f8\uff0c\u800c\u4e14\u8fd8\u80fd\u5269\u4e0b\u4e00\u4e9b\uff0c\u6bd4\u5982\u534e\u7279\u8fea\u58eb\u5c3c(Walt Disney)\u3001\u9ad8\u76db\u96c6\u56e2(Goldman Sachs)\u3001\u8f89\u745e(Pfizer Inc.)\u3001\u901a\u7528\u7535\u6c14(General Electric)\u6216\u7f8e\u56fd\u7535\u8bdd\u7535\u62a5\u516c\u53f8(AT&T Inc.)\u3002\u9664\u4e86\u8ba9\u80a1\u606f\u548c\u5229\u606f\u5728\u8d26\u9762\u4e0a\u4e0d\u65ad\u7d2f\u79ef\u4e4b\u5916\uff0c\u4f2f\u514b\u5e0c\u5c14\u54c8\u6492\u97e6\u8fd8\u5728\u8fc7\u53bb\u51e0\u4e2a\u6708\u5927\u4e3e\u51cf\u6301\u4e86\u4e24\u5927\u91cd\u4ed3\u80a1\u2014\u2014\u82f9\u679c\u516c\u53f8(Apple Inc.)\u548c\u7f8e\u56fd\u94f6\u884c(Bank of America)\u3002\u800c\u4e14\uff0c\u4f2f\u514b\u5e0c\u5c14\u54c8\u6492\u97e6\u516d\u5e74\u6765\u9996\u6b21\u505c\u6b62\u589e\u6301\u5176\u6700\u4e86\u89e3\u7684\u80a1\u7968\uff0c\u4e5f\u5c31\u662f\u8be5\u516c\u53f8\u81ea\u5bb6\u80a1\u7968\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u8fd9\u662f\u5426\u610f\u5473\u7740\u666e\u901a\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u5e94\u8be5\u5bf9\u5e02\u573a\u6301\u8c28\u614e\u6001\u5ea6\uff1f\u4e5f\u8bb8\u5427\uff0c\u4f46\u8fd9\u66f4\u591a\u4f53\u73b0\u4e86\u4f2f\u514b\u5e0c\u5c14\u54c8\u6492\u97e6\u81ea\u8eab\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u5df4\u83f2\u7279\u548c\u4ed6\u5df2\u6545\u7684\u5546\u4e1a\u4f19\u4f34\u67e5\u7406\u00b7\u8292\u683c(Charlie Munger)\u4e4b\u6240\u4ee5\u80fd\u53d6\u5f97\u6bd4\u80a1\u5e02\u9ad8\u51fa140\u500d\u7684\u56de\u62a5\u7387\uff0c\u5e76\u4e0d\u662f\u56e0\u4e3a\u4ed6\u4eec\u64c5\u957f\u628a\u63e1\u5e02\u573a\u65f6\u673a\u3002\u8292\u683c\u6700\u8457\u540d\u7684\u4e00\u53e5\u8bdd\u53ef\u80fd\u662f\u4ed6\u5173\u4e8e\u590d\u5229\u7684\u9996\u8981\u6cd5\u5219\uff1a\u201c\u4e0d\u5230\u5fc5\u8981\u65f6\uff0c\u522b\u53bb\u6253\u65ad\u5b83\u3002\u201d\u90a3\u4e9b\u5bc6\u5207\u5173\u6ce8\u4f2f\u514b\u5e0c\u5c14\u54c8\u6492\u97e6\u3001\u5e0c\u671b\u81ea\u5df1\u7684\u6295\u8d44\u7ec4\u5408\u4e5f\u80fd\u6cbe\u67d3\u4e0a\u8be5\u516c\u53f8\u4e00\u70b9\u9b54\u529b\u7684\u6295\u8d44\u8005\uff0c\u90fd\u975e\u5e38\u5173\u6ce8\u8be5\u516c\u53f8\u5728\u4e70\u8fdb\u548c\u5356\u51fa\u4ec0\u4e48\uff0c\u800c\u4e0d\u592a\u5173\u6ce8\u4e70\u5356\u7684\u65f6\u95f4\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

\u770b\u4f3c\u603b\u662f\u4e50\u89c2\u548c\u8010\u5fc3\u7684\u5df4\u83f2\u7279\u4e4b\u524d\u4e5f\u66fe\u53d8\u5f97\u8c28\u614e\u3002\u4f17\u6240\u5468\u77e5\uff0c\u5df4\u83f2\u7279\u66fe\u57281969\u5e74\u8bf4\u5e02\u573a\u6ce1\u6cab\u592a\u5927\uff0c\u5e76\u5173\u95ed\u4e86\u4ed6\u6781\u4e3a\u6210\u529f\u7684\u5408\u4f19\u57fa\u91d1\u3002\u5728\u5168\u7403\u91d1\u878d\u5371\u673a\u524d\u7684\u51e0\u5e74\u91cc\uff0c\u4ed6\u4e5f\u79ef\u7d2f\u4e86\u5927\u91cf\u73b0\u91d1\uff0c\u968f\u540e\u4f3a\u673a\u800c\u52a8\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u65b0\u7f55\u5e03\u4ec0\u5c14\u5dde\u7684\u57fa\u91d1\u7ecf\u7406\u3001\u5df4\u83f2\u7279\u7814\u7a76\u4e13\u5bb6Adam J. Mead\u8bf4\uff1a\u201c\u5df4\u83f2\u7279\u8ba4\u8bc6\u5230\uff0c\u5e02\u573a\u4f1a\u6ce2\u52a8\uff0c\u800c\u4e14\u4f1a\u8d70\u5411\u6781\u7aef\u3002\u201dMead\u8457\u6709\u300a\u4f2f\u514b\u5e0c\u5c14\u54c8\u6492\u97e6\u8d22\u52a1\u5168\u53f2\u300b(The Complete Financial History of Berkshire Hathaway)\u4e00\u4e66\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u80a1\u7968\u4f30\u503c\u8fc7\u9ad8\u5e76\u4e0d\u610f\u5473\u7740\u80a1\u5e02\u5373\u5c06\u5d29\u76d8\uff0c\u751a\u81f3\u4e0d\u610f\u5473\u7740\u718a\u5e02\u5373\u5c06\u5230\u6765\u3002\u5e94\u8be5\u628a\u773c\u5149\u653e\u957f\u8fdc\uff0c\u7528\u672a\u6765\u51e0\u5e74\u7684\u56de\u62a5\u524d\u666f\u6765\u8861\u91cf\u76ee\u524d\u7684\u4f30\u503c\uff0c\u5f53\u7136\u672a\u6765\u65e2\u5305\u62ec\u597d\u65f6\u671f\u4e5f\u5305\u62ec\u574f\u65f6\u671f\u3002\u9ad8\u76db(Goldman Sachs)\u7b56\u7565\u5e08David Kostin\u6700\u8fd1\u9884\u6d4b\uff0c\u6807\u666e500\u6307\u6570\u672a\u6765\u5341\u5e74\u7684\u5e73\u5747\u5e74\u56de\u62a5\u7387\u4ec5\u4e3a3%\uff0c\u4e0d\u5230\u6218\u540e\u6c34\u5e73\u7684\u4e09\u5206\u4e4b\u4e00\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u5728\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u4e50\u89c2\u60c5\u7eea\u9ad8\u6da8\u7684\u65f6\u5019\uff0cKostin\u7684\u62a5\u544a\u542c\u8d77\u6765\u50cf\u662f\u4e00\u79cd\u4e0d\u548c\u8c10\u7684\u6742\u97f3\uff0c\u4f46\u5b83\u4e0e\u5176\u4ed6\u9884\u6d4b\u662f\u4e00\u81f4\u7684\u3002\u8d44\u4ea7\u7ba1\u7406\u5de8\u5934Vanguard\u6700\u8fd1\u9884\u6d4b\uff0c\u672a\u6765\u5341\u5e74\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u5927\u578b\u80a1\u7684\u5e74\u5747\u56de\u62a5\u7387\u57283%\u81f35%\u4e4b\u95f4\uff0c\u6210\u957f\u578b\u80a1\u7968\u7684\u5e74\u5747\u56de\u62a5\u7387\u4ec5\u4e3a0.1%\u81f32.1%\u3002Robert Shiller\u6559\u6388\u6309\u5468\u671f\u8c03\u6574\u540e\u7684\u5e02\u76c8\u7387\u4e0e\u6263\u9664\u901a\u80c0\u56e0\u7d20\u540e\u5e74\u5747\u56de\u62a5\u7387\u7ea6\u4e3a0.5%\u76f8\u4e00\u81f4\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e0eKostin\u7684\u9884\u6d4b\u7c7b\u4f3c\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u5bc6\u5207\u5173\u6ce8\u4f2f\u514b\u5e0c\u5c14\u54c8\u6492\u97e6\u516c\u53f8\u7684\u4e70\u5356\u60c5\u51b5\u3002\u56fe\u4e3a\u4f2f\u514b\u5e0c\u5c14\u54c8\u6492\u97e6\u5728\u5185\u5e03\u62c9\u65af\u52a0\u5dde\u5965\u9a6c\u54c8\u4e3e\u884c\u5e74\u5ea6\u80a1\u4e1c\u5927\u4f1a\u7684\u524d\u4e00\u5929\u3002\u56fe\u7247\u6765\u6e90\uff1aDan Brouillette\/Bloomberg News<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u8fd8\u6709\u66f4\u7b80\u5355\u7684\u201c\u5df4\u83f2\u7279\u6307\u6807\u201d(Buffett Indicator)\uff0c\u8fd9\u4f4d\u5965\u9a6c\u54c8\u5148\u77e5(Oracle of Omaha)\u66fe\u79f0\u5176\u4e3a\u201c\u53ef\u80fd\u662f\u5728\u4efb\u4f55\u7279\u5b9a\u65f6\u95f4\u8861\u91cf\u4f30\u503c\u6c34\u5e73\u7684\u6700\u4f73\u5355\u4e00\u6307\u6807\u201d\u3002\u8fd9\u4e00\u6307\u6807\u6709\u591a\u79cd\u53d8\u5316\u5f62\u5f0f\uff0c\u4f46\u5b83\u57fa\u672c\u4e0a\u662f\u6240\u6709\u4e0a\u5e02\u516c\u53f8\u80a1\u7968\u4e0e\u7f8e\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u89c4\u6a21\u7684\u6bd4\u7387\u3002\u4ee5\u5a01\u5c14\u5e0c\u5c145000\u6307\u6570(Wilshire 5000 Index)\u4f5c\u4e3a\u53c2\u8003\uff0c\u8be5\u6307\u6807\u76ee\u524d\u7ea6\u4e3a200%\uff0c\u8fd9\u610f\u5473\u7740\u4f30\u503c\u6bd4\u79d1\u6280\u6ce1\u6cab\u9876\u5cf0\u65f6\u671f\u8fd8\u8981\u5938\u5f20\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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