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\u56fe\u7247\u6765\u6e90\uff1aAlex Nabaum<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u6587\u7ae0\u6765\u6e90:\u00a0\u534e\u5c14\u8857\u65e5\u62a5\u00a0\u00a0\u2013 \u65b0\u95fb\u53d6\u81ea\u5404\u5927\u65b0\u95fb\u5a92\u4f53\uff0c\u65b0\u95fb\u5185\u5bb9\u5e76\u4e0d\u4ee3\u8868\u672c\u7f51\u7acb\u573a\uff01<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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2009\u5e74\u53bb\u4e16\u7684\u91d1\u878d\u53f2\u5b66\u5bb6\u548c\u6295\u8d44\u7b56\u7565\u5e08\u5f7c\u5f97\u00b7\u4f2f\u6069\u65af\u5766(Peter Bernstein)\u559c\u6b22\u8bf4\uff0c\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u62e5\u6709\u8bb0\u5fc6\u5e93\uff0c\u7559\u5b58\u5728\u5176\u4e2d\u7684\u662f\u5e74\u9f84\u76f8\u4eff\u7684\u4eba\u5171\u540c\u83b7\u5f97\u7684\u5e02\u573a\u56de\u62a5\u3002\u7ecf\u9a8c\u51b3\u5b9a\u9884\u671f\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u95ee\u9898\u5728\u4e8e\uff0c\u4f60\u7684\u8bb0\u5fc6\u5e93\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u4ee5\u975e\u5e38\u5371\u9669\u7684\u65b9\u5f0f\u6b3a\u9a97\u4f60\u3002\u53ea\u6709\u5f53\u672a\u6765\u88ab\u8bc1\u660e\u4e0e\u4f60\u7ecf\u5386\u7684\u90a3\u4e00\u90e8\u5206\u8fc7\u53bb\u76f8\u4f3c\u65f6\uff0c\u4f60\u7684\u8fc7\u5f80\u7ecf\u9a8c\u624d\u80fd\u5408\u7406\u5730\u6307\u5bfc\u672a\u6765\u3002\u800c\u4e8b\u5b9e\u5f80\u5f80\u5e76\u975e\u5982\u6b64\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u9274\u4e8e\u7279\u6717\u666e\u8d38\u6613\u653f\u7b56\u7684\u4e0d\u786e\u5b9a\u6027\u5bfc\u81f4\u5e02\u573a\u5267\u70c8\u9707\u8361\uff0c\u6709\u5fc5\u8981\u5bf9\u4f60\u8bb0\u5fc6\u5e93\u4e2d\u7684\u4e00\u4e9b\u6295\u8d44\u4fe1\u5ff5\u52a0\u4ee5\u5ba1\u89c6\u2014\u2014\u95ee\u95ee\u5b83\u4eec\u662f\u5426\u4ecd\u7136\u9760\u5f97\u4f4f\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u6210\u957f\u80a1\u78be\u538b\u4ef7\u503c\u80a1<\/h3>\n\n\n\n

\u5728\u8fc7\u53bb\u5341\u4e94\u5e74\u7684\u5927\u90e8\u5206\u65f6\u95f4\u91cc\uff0c\u4ef7\u503c\u80a1\u2014\u2014\u80a1\u4ef7\u76f8\u5bf9\u4e8e\u76c8\u5229\u548c\u8d44\u4ea7\u663e\u5f97\u6bd4\u8f83\u4f4e\u7684\u516c\u53f8\u2014\u2014\u4e00\u76f4\u8e52\u8dda\u524d\u884c\uff0c\u8fdc\u8fdc\u843d\u540e\u4e8e\u82f9\u679c\u516c\u53f8(Apple)\u3001\u82f1\u4f1f\u8fbe(Nvidia)\u548c\u7279\u65af\u62c9(Tesla)\u7b49\u4f30\u503c\u8f83\u9ad8\u7684\u6210\u957f\u80a1\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u4e0d\u8fc7\uff0c\u6c83\u4f26\u00b7\u5df4\u83f2\u7279(Warren Buffett)\u65d7\u4e0b\u582a\u79f0\u80a1\u5e02\u9022\u4f4e\u4e70\u8fdb\u6807\u6746\u7684\u4f2f\u514b\u5e0c\u5c14\u54c8\u6492\u97e6\u516c\u53f8(Berkshire Hathaway)\u4eca\u5e74\u4ee5\u6765\u5df2\u7d2f\u8ba1\u4e0a\u6da817.3%\uff0c\u652f\u6491\u80a1\u4ef7\u4e0a\u6da8\u7684\u662f\u8be5\u516c\u53f83,300\u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u73b0\u91d1\u3002\u4ee5\u79d1\u6280\u80a1\u4e3a\u4e3b\u7684\u7eb3\u65af\u8fbe\u514b\u7efc\u5408\u6307\u6570\u5219\u4e0b\u8dcc\u4e8610.9%\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u6295\u8d44\u516c\u53f8Research Affiliates\u7684\u8463\u4e8b\u957f\u7f57\u4f2f\u00b7\u963f\u8bfa\u7279(Rob Arnott)\u8bf4\uff0c\u65e0\u8bba\u8d38\u6613\u653f\u7b56\u4e71\u5c40\u5982\u4f55\u62d6\u7d2f\u5168\u7403\u7ecf\u6d4e\uff0c\u201c\u4ef7\u503c\u57fa\u7840\u4f9d\u7136\u5f88\u91cd\u8981\u201d\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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\u7f8e\u56fd\u662f\u552f\u4e00\u7684\u6295\u8d44\u798f\u5730<\/h3>\n\n\n\n

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\u4f46\u65f6\u8fc7\u5883\u8fc1\u30022025\u5e74\uff0c\u8ffd\u8e2a\u7f8e\u56fd\u4ee5\u5916\u5e02\u573a\u7684MSCI ACWI ex USA\u6307\u6570\u8dd1\u8d62\u6807\u666e500\u6307\u6570\u903e14\u4e2a\u767e\u5206\u70b9\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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\u5982\u679c\u7f8e\u5143\u7ee7\u7eed\u8d70\u8f6f\uff0c\u5c06\u63a8\u52a8\u6d77\u5916\u80a1\u7968\u8d70\u5f3a\uff1b\u5373\u4fbf\u7f8e\u5143\u4e0d\u8d70\u8f6f\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u4e5f\u4e0d\u662f\u552f\u4e00\u7684\u6295\u8d44\u798f\u5730\u3002\u5728\u7f8e\u56fd\u4e4b\u5916\uff0c\u8fd8\u6709\u4e00\u6574\u4e2a\u5730\u7403\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u9022\u4f4e\u4e70\u5165\uff0c\u65f6\u95f4\u4f1a\u5e26\u4f60\u8d70\u51fa\u4f4e\u8c37<\/h3>\n\n\n\n

\u5bbe\u5915\u6cd5\u5c3c\u4e9a\u5927\u5b66\u6c83\u987f\u5546\u5b66\u9662\u91d1\u878d\u5b66\u6559\u6388\u6770\u91cc\u7c73\u00b7\u897f\u683c\u5c14(Jeremy Siegel)\u57281994\u5e74\u51fa\u7248\u7684\u300a\u80a1\u5e02\u957f\u7ebf\u6cd5\u5b9d\u300b(Stocks for the Long Run)\u4e00\u4e66\u4e2d\u79f0\uff0c\u5254\u9664\u901a\u80c0\u56e0\u7d20\u540e\uff0c\u80a1\u7968\u6536\u76ca\u4e0d\u53ca\u503a\u5238\u6536\u76ca\u7684\u884c\u60c5\u81f3\u5c11\u6301\u7eed20\u5e74\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\u975e\u5e38\u7f55\u89c1\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u4f46\u5723\u514b\u62c9\u62c9\u5927\u5b66(Santa Clara University)\u540d\u8a89\u5546\u5b66\u6559\u6388\u7231\u5fb7\u534e\u00b7\u9ea6\u8003\u5229(Edward McQuarrie)\u6700\u65b0\u7684\u7814\u7a76\u8868\u660e\uff0c\u4e8b\u5b9e\u5e76\u975e\u5982\u6b64\u3002\u9ea6\u8003\u5229\u7528\u597d\u51e0\u5e74\u65f6\u95f4\u4ed4\u7ec6\u6821\u6b63\u6eaf\u53ca1793\u5e74\u7684\u7f8e\u56fd\u8d44\u4ea7\u6536\u76ca\u5386\u53f2\u8bb0\u5f55\uff0c\u4ed6\u53d1\u73b0\uff0c\u5254\u9664\u901a\u80c0\u56e0\u7d20\u540e\u7684\u503a\u5238\u6536\u76ca\u8dd1\u8d62\u80a1\u7968\u7684\u884c\u60c5\u6301\u7eed20\u5e74\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\u5f88\u591a\uff0c\u6700\u8fd1\u4e00\u6b21\u662f\u622a\u81f32012\u5e74\u768420\u5e74\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

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\u73b0\u91d1\u662f\u5783\u573e<\/h3>\n\n\n\n

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